Premier League · 2021/22
2022-04-02 · 15:00
11.5063.9%
X4.1223.3%
27.5112.8%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Brighton
DDLWDDLLLL
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM
Norwich
LWDLLLWLLL
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM
Goals
0.50
Scored
0.80
1.30
Conceded
2.40
10%
Over 2.5
70%
30%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.00
1H goals
1.20
0.80
2H goals
2.00
70%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
5.90N=10
For
3.40N=10
4.10
Against
7.10
10.00
Total
10.50
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.50
Goals scored
0.80
1.30
Goals conceded
2.40
1.80
Total goals
3.20
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Brighton attack
0.50goals per matchNorwich conceded2.40Matchup
Norwich attack
0.80goals per matchBrighton conceded1.30Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.20
0.70
1H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.20
2H goals scored
0.60
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.40
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.90N=10
Corners for
3.40N=10
4.10
Corners against
7.10
10.00
Match total
10.50
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.80N=10
For
1.40N=10
4.40
Match total
2.20
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.80N=10
Committed
10.10N=10
22.50
Match total
21.70
Shots
13.60N=10
Shots
9.00N=10
2.70
On target
2.70
4%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches84
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home63.9%70.2%+6.3 pp
Draw23.3%21.4%-1.9 pp
Away12.8%8.3%-4.4 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.569.0%
Over 2.542.9%
Over 3.526.2%
BTTS48.8%
Historical average
1.85–0.68
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-023.8%
1-114.3%
2-010.7%
2-19.5%
3-17.1%
Comparable corner averages
5.85–3.44
Average total9.29
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=84.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.565.5%
Over 9.546.4%
Over 10.533.3%
Over 11.520.2%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches28
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT67.9%49.3%–82.1% CI
Draw FT25.0%12.7%–43.4% CI
Away FT7.1%2.0%–22.6% CI
Remaining goals
1.39
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal85.7%
2+ goals35.7%
3+ goals10.7%
Who scores in 2H
Home78.6%
Away25.0%