Premier League · 2021/22
2022-04-02 · 12:30
11.1385.3%
X9.3610.3%
221.824.4%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Liverpool
DWWWWWWWWW
9W 1D 0L · 2.80 PPM
Watford
LLLDDLWDLW
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Goals
2.90
Scored
0.70
0.40
Conceded
1.40
70%
Over 2.5
40%
30%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.60
1H goals
1.10
1.70
2H goals
1.00
90%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
7.10N=10
For
4.20N=10
3.00
Against
6.30
10.10
Total
10.50
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.90
Goals scored
0.70
0.40
Goals conceded
1.40
3.30
Total goals
2.10
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Liverpool attack
2.90goals per matchWatford conceded1.40Matchup
Watford attack
0.70goals per matchLiverpool conceded0.40Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.40
1H goals scored
0.40
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.50
2H goals scored
0.30
0.20
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
7.10N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
3.00
Corners against
6.30
10.10
Match total
10.50
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
0.90N=10
For
1.20N=10
2.30
Match total
3.10
Over 3.5
Fouls
8.80N=10
Committed
12.00N=10
16.80
Match total
20.60
Shots
21.90N=10
Shots
10.00N=10
8.30
On target
3.00
13%
Conversion
7%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches20
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home85.3%95.0%+9.7 pp
Draw10.3%0.0%-10.3 pp
Away4.4%5.0%+0.6 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.595.0%
Over 2.580.0%
Over 3.565.0%
BTTS45.0%
Historical average
3.40–0.70
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
5-020.0%
3-010.0%
3-110.0%
4-110.0%
2-010.0%
Comparable corner averages
7.10–3.45
Average total10.55
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=20.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.555.0%
Over 9.545.0%
Over 10.540.0%
Over 11.540.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT76.9%49.7%–91.8% CI
Draw FT7.7%1.4%–33.3% CI
Away FT15.4%4.3%–42.2% CI
Remaining goals
2.08
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal92.3%
2+ goals69.2%
3+ goals23.1%
Who scores in 2H
Home76.9%
Away38.5%