Premier League · 2021/22
2022-04-02 · 12:30
11.1385.3%
X9.3610.3%
221.824.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Liverpool
DWWWWWWWWW
9W 1D 0L · 2.80 PPM
Watford
LLLDDLWDLW
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

2.90
Scored
0.70
0.40
Conceded
1.40
70%
Over 2.5
40%
30%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.60
1H goals
1.10
1.70
2H goals
1.00
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

7.10N=10
For
4.20N=10
3.00
Against
6.30
10.10
Total
10.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.90
Goals scored
0.70
0.40
Goals conceded
1.40
3.30
Total goals
2.10
80%8/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
30%3/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Liverpool attack

2.90goals per match
Watford conceded1.40
Matchup

Watford attack

0.70goals per match
Liverpool conceded0.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.40
1H goals scored
0.40
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
40%4/10
80%8/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.50
2H goals scored
0.30
0.20
2H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.10N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
3.00
Corners against
6.30
10.10
Match total
10.50
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

0.90N=10
For
1.20N=10
2.30
Match total
3.10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

8.80N=10
Committed
12.00N=10
16.80
Match total
20.60

Shots

21.90N=10
Shots
10.00N=10
8.30
On target
3.00
13%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches20
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home85.3%95.0%+9.7 pp
Draw10.3%0.0%-10.3 pp
Away4.4%5.0%+0.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.595.0%
Over 2.580.0%
Over 3.565.0%
BTTS45.0%

Historical average

3.400.70

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

5-020.0%
3-010.0%
3-110.0%
4-110.0%
2-010.0%

Comparable corner averages

7.103.45
Average total10.55

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=20.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.555.0%
Over 9.545.0%
Over 10.540.0%
Over 11.540.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT76.9%49.7%–91.8% CI
Draw FT7.7%1.4%–33.3% CI
Away FT15.4%4.3%–42.2% CI

Remaining goals

2.08

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal92.3%
2+ goals69.2%
3+ goals23.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home76.9%
Away38.5%