Premier League · 2021/22
2022-03-20 · 14:00
12.1943.9%
X3.4527.9%
23.4128.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Leicester
WLLWWWLDDW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Brentford
LDLDLLLLLW
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM

Goals

1.90
Scored
1.10
1.50
Conceded
2.40
60%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.70
1.90
2H goals
1.80
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.40N=10
For
2.90N=10
6.50
Against
7.60
10.90
Total
10.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
1.10
1.50
Goals conceded
2.40
3.40
Total goals
3.50
80%8/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Leicester attack

1.90goals per match
Brentford conceded2.40
Matchup

Brentford attack

1.10goals per match
Leicester conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.40
0.80
1H goals conceded
1.30
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.20
2H goals scored
0.70
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.10
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.40N=10
Corners for
2.90N=10
6.50
Corners against
7.60
10.90
Match total
10.50
80%8/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.00N=10
For
1.70N=10
2.50
Match total
2.90
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

8.10N=10
Committed
10.10N=10
20.40
Match total
19.80

Shots

12.30N=10
Shots
8.60N=10
5.10
On target
3.50
15%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches396
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home43.9%46.0%+2.0 pp
Draw27.9%29.3%+1.4 pp
Away28.2%24.7%-3.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.574.5%
Over 2.548.5%
Over 3.529.0%
BTTS54.5%

Historical average

1.541.13

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.2%
1-011.4%
2-19.1%
2-07.3%
0-07.3%

Comparable corner averages

5.604.33
Average total9.93

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=396.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.6%
Over 9.552.5%
Over 10.540.2%
Over 11.530.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches114
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT35.1%26.9%–44.2% CI
Draw FT41.2%32.6%–50.4% CI
Away FT23.7%16.8%–32.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.39

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal74.6%
2+ goals40.4%
3+ goals16.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home57.0%
Away45.6%