Premier League · 2021/22
2022-03-19 · 12:30
12.9932.2%
X3.4727.8%
22.4140.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Aston Villa
LLWLWLDDLW
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Arsenal
WDWLLLWWWW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
1.90
1.90
Conceded
1.20
80%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.70
1H goals
1.60
2.00
2H goals
1.50
100%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

4.60N=10
For
4.40N=10
7.10
Against
4.70
11.70
Total
9.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.90
1.90
Goals conceded
1.20
3.70
Total goals
3.10
90%9/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Aston Villa attack

1.80goals per match
Arsenal conceded1.20
Matchup

Arsenal attack

1.90goals per match
Aston Villa conceded1.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
1.30
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.30
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
70%7/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.60
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.90
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.60N=10
Corners for
4.40N=10
7.10
Corners against
4.70
11.70
Match total
9.10
90%9/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
1.20N=10
3.20
Match total
3.00
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

8.70N=10
Committed
9.60N=10
21.50
Match total
19.40

Shots

12.10N=10
Shots
12.70N=10
4.40
On target
4.80
15%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches248
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home32.2%30.6%-1.6 pp
Draw27.8%29.0%+1.3 pp
Away40.0%40.3%+0.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.576.6%
Over 2.547.2%
Over 3.526.6%
BTTS56.5%

Historical average

1.181.49

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-116.1%
1-09.3%
0-28.5%
1-27.7%
0-17.7%

Comparable corner averages

4.845.32
Average total10.16

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=248.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.568.1%
Over 9.556.9%
Over 10.545.2%
Over 11.533.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches69
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT33.3%23.4%–45.1% CI
Draw FT39.1%28.5%–50.9% CI
Away FT27.5%18.4%–39.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.32

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.8%
2+ goals39.1%
3+ goals13.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home52.2%
Away50.7%