Premier League · 2021/22
2022-03-17 · 19:45
12.3740.6%
X3.3828.5%
23.1130.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Everton
LLDLWLLWLL
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM
Newcastle
DDLLLWDWWL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
0.90
1.70
Conceded
1.40
50%
Over 2.5
30%
40%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.10
1.60
2H goals
1.20
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.00N=10
For
4.90N=10
4.60
Against
5.80
9.60
Total
10.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
0.90
1.70
Goals conceded
1.40
2.70
Total goals
2.30
50%5/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Everton attack

1.00goals per match
Newcastle conceded1.40
Matchup

Newcastle attack

0.90goals per match
Everton conceded1.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.50
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.60
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.40
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.00N=10
Corners for
4.90N=10
4.60
Corners against
5.80
9.60
Match total
10.70
40%4/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.40N=10
For
2.70N=10
4.60
Match total
5.20
60%6/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

8.80N=10
Committed
9.70N=10
21.10
Match total
19.40

Shots

12.80N=10
Shots
10.70N=10
3.60
On target
3.60
8%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches509
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home40.6%41.3%+0.7 pp
Draw28.5%29.3%+0.8 pp
Away30.9%29.5%-1.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.5%
Over 2.548.7%
Over 3.526.9%
BTTS52.7%

Historical average

1.411.19

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.6%
1-09.6%
0-09.6%
2-19.2%
0-18.3%

Comparable corner averages

5.484.68
Average total10.16

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=509.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.8%
Over 9.556.6%
Over 10.543.8%
Over 11.532.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches170
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT31.8%25.2%–39.1% CI
Draw FT44.7%37.4%–52.2% CI
Away FT23.5%17.8%–30.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.32

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal71.2%
2+ goals42.4%
3+ goals14.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home51.2%
Away46.5%