Premier League · 2021/22
2022-03-16 · 20:15
13.7825.5%
X3.9824.2%
21.9250.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Arsenal
WWWWWLDWWW
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM
Liverpool
WLWWDLDWWW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
2.20
0.50
Conceded
1.00
50%
Over 2.5
60%
40%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.70
1H goals
1.90
1.60
2H goals
1.30
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.70N=10
For
6.60N=10
3.90
Against
4.10
10.60
Total
10.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
2.20
0.50
Goals conceded
1.00
2.30
Total goals
3.20
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Arsenal attack

1.80goals per match
Liverpool conceded1.00
Matchup

Liverpool attack

2.20goals per match
Arsenal conceded0.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
1.40
0.10
1H goals conceded
0.50
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
1.20
2H goals scored
0.80
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.70N=10
Corners for
6.60N=10
3.90
Corners against
4.10
10.60
Match total
10.70
60%6/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
1.60N=10
3.50
Match total
4.10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

9.00N=10
Committed
10.30N=10
19.10
Match total
19.20

Shots

19.40N=10
Shots
16.20N=10
6.20
On target
6.10
9%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches101
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home25.5%25.7%+0.2 pp
Draw24.2%16.8%-7.4 pp
Away50.2%57.4%+7.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.583.2%
Over 2.567.3%
Over 3.534.7%
BTTS69.3%

Historical average

1.192.00

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-220.8%
1-19.9%
1-48.9%
1-07.9%
2-15.9%

Comparable corner averages

4.195.57
Average total9.76

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=101.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.4%
Over 9.549.5%
Over 10.542.6%
Over 11.531.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches30
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT20.0%9.5%–37.3% CI
Draw FT30.0%16.7%–47.9% CI
Away FT50.0%33.2%–66.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.80

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal83.3%
2+ goals56.7%
3+ goals36.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home60.0%
Away66.7%