Premier League · 2021/22
2022-03-14 · 20:00
19.829.8%
X5.5017.5%
21.3272.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Crystal Palace
DWLWDWLLLD
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Man City
WWWWWWWDWW
9W 1D 0L · 2.80 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
2.40
1.40
Conceded
0.50
60%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.50
1.60
2H goals
1.40
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.40N=10
For
8.00N=10
4.60
Against
3.70
10.00
Total
11.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
2.40
1.40
Goals conceded
0.50
3.00
Total goals
2.90
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Crystal Palace attack

1.60goals per match
Man City conceded0.50
Matchup

Man City attack

2.40goals per match
Crystal Palace conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
1.30
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.20
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
70%7/10
1.00
2H goals scored
1.10
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.30
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.40N=10
Corners for
8.00N=10
4.60
Corners against
3.70
10.00
Match total
11.70
80%8/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
90%9/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
1.30N=10
4.00
Match total
2.90
50%5/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

10.60N=10
Committed
8.50N=10
24.80
Match total
18.30

Shots

12.90N=10
Shots
18.20N=10
4.50
On target
7.30
12%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches49
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home9.8%6.1%-3.7 pp
Draw17.5%18.4%+0.9 pp
Away72.8%75.5%+2.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.581.6%
Over 2.559.2%
Over 3.536.7%
BTTS53.1%

Historical average

0.672.24

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-214.3%
1-312.2%
1-212.2%
0-110.2%
0-410.2%

Comparable corner averages

3.417.20
Average total10.61

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=49.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.571.4%
Over 9.567.3%
Over 10.549.0%
Over 11.536.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT16.7%4.7%–44.8% CI
Draw FT41.7%19.3%–68.0% CI
Away FT41.7%19.3%–68.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.92

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal66.7%
2+ goals66.7%
3+ goals41.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home41.7%
Away66.7%