Premier League · 2021/22
2022-03-13 · 16:30
11.5362.8%
X4.5521.1%
26.0016.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Arsenal
DWWWWWLDWW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Leicester
LDWDDLLLLW
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
1.50
0.70
Conceded
2.00
60%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
80%

By half

0.70
1H goals
1.80
1.80
2H goals
1.70
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

7.10N=10
For
5.70N=10
3.70
Against
6.30
10.80
Total
12.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.50
0.70
Goals conceded
2.00
2.50
Total goals
3.50
80%8/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Arsenal attack

1.80goals per match
Leicester conceded2.00
Matchup

Leicester attack

1.50goals per match
Arsenal conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.70
0.10
1H goals conceded
1.10
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.20
2H goals scored
0.80
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.90
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.10N=10
Corners for
5.70N=10
3.70
Corners against
6.30
10.80
Match total
12.00
70%7/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
1.70N=10
3.40
Match total
3.20
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

8.90N=10
Committed
10.70N=10
18.40
Match total
22.10

Shots

19.00N=10
Shots
12.70N=10
6.00
On target
5.00
9%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches115
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home62.8%67.8%+5.0 pp
Draw21.1%20.0%-1.1 pp
Away16.0%12.2%-3.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.583.5%
Over 2.562.6%
Over 3.540.0%
BTTS56.5%

Historical average

2.250.91

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-010.4%
2-110.4%
1-19.6%
1-08.7%
3-18.7%

Comparable corner averages

6.593.50
Average total10.10

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=115.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.5%
Over 9.553.0%
Over 10.540.9%
Over 11.533.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches34
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT50.0%34.1%–65.9% CI
Draw FT38.2%23.9%–55.0% CI
Away FT11.8%4.7%–26.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.82

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal88.2%
2+ goals58.8%
3+ goals26.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home79.4%
Away47.1%