Premier League · 2021/22
2022-03-13 · 14:00
12.3341.3%
X3.3129.1%
23.2429.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

West Ham
WWDWLWLWDW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Aston Villa
LLWLWLWLWW
5W 0D 5L · 1.50 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
1.20
1.20
Conceded
0.90
40%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.10
1.60
2H goals
1.00
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.10N=10
For
5.00N=10
4.50
Against
6.70
9.60
Total
11.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
1.20
1.20
Goals conceded
0.90
2.90
Total goals
2.10
70%7/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
60%6/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

West Ham attack

1.70goals per match
Aston Villa conceded0.90
Matchup

Aston Villa attack

1.20goals per match
West Ham conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.60
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.60
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.40
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.10N=10
Corners for
5.00N=10
4.50
Corners against
6.70
9.60
Match total
11.70
60%6/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
3.00N=10
2.90
Match total
6.00
40%4/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

7.90N=10
Committed
11.10N=10
14.80
Match total
26.40

Shots

11.70N=10
Shots
11.40N=10
4.30
On target
3.80
15%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches467
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home41.3%42.8%+1.6 pp
Draw29.1%29.1%+0.1 pp
Away29.7%28.1%-1.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.569.4%
Over 2.546.0%
Over 3.525.9%
BTTS50.5%

Historical average

1.411.11

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-111.6%
0-010.7%
1-010.3%
0-19.6%
2-19.0%

Comparable corner averages

5.524.64
Average total10.16

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=467.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.0%
Over 9.557.2%
Over 10.544.1%
Over 11.531.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches169
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT32.5%25.9%–39.9% CI
Draw FT42.0%34.8%–49.5% CI
Away FT25.4%19.5%–32.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.28

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal70.4%
2+ goals37.9%
3+ goals14.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home48.5%
Away44.4%