Premier League · 2021/22
2022-03-13 · 14:00
11.6159.7%
X4.1723.1%
25.5917.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Southampton
DWDDDWDWWL
4W 5D 1L · 1.70 PPM
Watford
WLLLDDLWDL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
1.00
1.00
Conceded
1.50
40%
Over 2.5
40%
70%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.60
1H goals
1.00
1.10
2H goals
1.50
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.30N=10
For
4.40N=10
5.10
Against
5.50
11.40
Total
9.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
1.00
1.00
Goals conceded
1.50
2.70
Total goals
2.50
90%9/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Southampton attack

1.70goals per match
Watford conceded1.50
Matchup

Watford attack

1.00goals per match
Southampton conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.30
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
40%4/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.70
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
10%1/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.30N=10
Corners for
4.40N=10
5.10
Corners against
5.50
11.40
Match total
9.90
50%5/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
1.30N=10
3.30
Match total
3.30
50%5/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

11.20N=10
Committed
12.10N=10
20.10
Match total
20.80

Shots

14.20N=10
Shots
11.10N=10
5.40
On target
3.30
12%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches159
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home59.7%59.7%+0.0 pp
Draw23.1%27.7%+4.6 pp
Away17.2%12.6%-4.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.579.2%
Over 2.551.6%
Over 3.530.8%
BTTS53.5%

Historical average

1.920.85

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.1%
2-111.3%
1-010.7%
2-010.1%
3-17.5%

Comparable corner averages

6.234.01
Average total10.23

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=159.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.9%
Over 9.556.0%
Over 10.545.3%
Over 11.535.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches44
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT52.3%37.9%–66.2% CI
Draw FT34.1%21.9%–48.9% CI
Away FT13.6%6.4%–26.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.41

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.8%
2+ goals47.7%
3+ goals11.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home68.2%
Away36.4%