Premier League · 2021/22
2022-03-13 · 14:00
11.3372.4%
X5.3018.2%
210.169.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Chelsea
LWWDDWDDDW
4W 5D 1L · 1.70 PPM
Newcastle
LDDLLLWDWW
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

2.10
Scored
1.00
1.00
Conceded
1.50
40%
Over 2.5
40%
70%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.30
1.90
2H goals
1.20
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

8.30N=10
For
5.10N=10
4.00
Against
5.10
12.30
Total
10.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
1.00
1.00
Goals conceded
1.50
3.10
Total goals
2.50
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
70%7/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Chelsea attack

2.10goals per match
Newcastle conceded1.50
Matchup

Newcastle attack

1.00goals per match
Chelsea conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.60
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.70
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.20
2H goals scored
0.40
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.80
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
8.30N=10
Corners for
5.10N=10
4.00
Corners against
5.10
12.30
Match total
10.20
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
2.60N=10
4.60
Match total
4.70
70%7/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

11.20N=10
Committed
8.60N=10
23.40
Match total
18.10

Shots

17.70N=10
Shots
10.80N=10
6.60
On target
3.60
12%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches75
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home72.4%73.3%+1.0 pp
Draw18.2%17.3%-0.8 pp
Away9.5%9.3%-0.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.576.0%
Over 2.558.7%
Over 3.540.0%
BTTS46.7%

Historical average

2.290.76

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-016.0%
2-013.3%
2-19.3%
3-18.0%
0-06.7%

Comparable corner averages

6.993.11
Average total10.09

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=75.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.7%
Over 9.552.0%
Over 10.541.3%
Over 11.532.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches23
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT65.2%44.9%–81.2% CI
Draw FT30.4%15.6%–50.9% CI
Away FT4.3%0.8%–21.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.57

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal78.3%
2+ goals39.1%
3+ goals21.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home73.9%
Away26.1%