Premier League · 2021/22
2022-03-12 · 15:00
12.2043.8%
X3.2329.8%
23.6526.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Brentford
LLWWLWLLDL
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM
Burnley
LDDDLLLDWD
1W 5D 4L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

0.90
Scored
0.90
1.40
Conceded
1.30
60%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.30
1.30
2H goals
0.90
60%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

5.30N=10
For
3.40N=10
4.80
Against
7.80
10.10
Total
11.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
0.90
1.40
Goals conceded
1.30
2.30
Total goals
2.20
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Brentford attack

0.90goals per match
Burnley conceded1.30
Matchup

Burnley attack

0.90goals per match
Brentford conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.40
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.90
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.50
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.40
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
10%1/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
3.40N=10
4.80
Corners against
7.80
10.10
Match total
11.20
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
2.00N=10
3.20
Match total
2.90
60%6/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

10.60N=10
Committed
10.00N=10
20.90
Match total
18.50

Shots

11.40N=10
Shots
8.00N=10
3.90
On target
2.20
8%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches408
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home43.8%42.6%-1.1 pp
Draw29.8%32.1%+2.3 pp
Away26.4%25.2%-1.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.567.9%
Over 2.536.0%
Over 3.518.4%
BTTS45.8%

Historical average

1.270.96

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-116.4%
1-012.5%
0-011.5%
2-010.8%
0-18.1%

Comparable corner averages

5.264.15
Average total9.41

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=408.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.558.1%
Over 9.547.3%
Over 10.534.1%
Over 11.525.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches162
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT35.8%28.8%–43.4% CI
Draw FT44.4%37.0%–52.1% CI
Away FT19.8%14.4%–26.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.21

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal71.0%
2+ goals37.0%
3+ goals8.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home53.7%
Away39.5%