Premier League · 2021/22
2022-03-12 · 12:30
16.2015.5%
X4.4721.5%
21.5362.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Brighton
DLDDLWDDLL
1W 5D 4L · 0.80 PPM
Liverpool
WWLWWDLDWW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM

Goals

0.60
Scored
2.50
1.30
Conceded
1.00
20%
Over 2.5
70%
40%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.10
1H goals
2.00
0.80
2H goals
1.50
60%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.10N=10
For
6.90N=10
4.30
Against
3.50
10.40
Total
10.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.60
Goals scored
2.50
1.30
Goals conceded
1.00
1.90
Total goals
3.50
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Brighton attack

0.60goals per match
Liverpool conceded1.00
Matchup

Liverpool attack

2.50goals per match
Brighton conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
1.50
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
0.30
2H goals scored
1.00
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.50
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
10%1/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.10N=10
Corners for
6.90N=10
4.30
Corners against
3.50
10.40
Match total
10.40
70%7/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
1.50N=10
4.40
Match total
3.70
60%6/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

11.30N=10
Committed
9.80N=10
20.70
Match total
17.90

Shots

14.40N=10
Shots
16.30N=10
3.10
On target
6.00
4%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches91
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home15.5%15.4%-0.1 pp
Draw21.5%20.9%-0.7 pp
Away62.9%63.7%+0.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.581.3%
Over 2.560.4%
Over 3.527.5%
BTTS57.1%

Historical average

0.851.99

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-218.7%
1-19.9%
0-18.8%
0-28.8%
2-17.7%

Comparable corner averages

3.846.66
Average total10.49

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=91.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.571.4%
Over 9.562.6%
Over 10.548.4%
Over 11.535.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches23
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT8.7%2.4%–26.8% CI
Draw FT47.8%29.2%–67.0% CI
Away FT43.5%25.6%–63.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.39

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal78.3%
2+ goals43.5%
3+ goals13.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home43.5%
Away69.6%