Premier League · 2021/22
2022-03-12 · 12:30
16.2015.5%
X4.4721.5%
21.5362.9%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Brighton
DLDDLWDDLL
1W 5D 4L · 0.80 PPM
Liverpool
WWLWWDLDWW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Goals
0.60
Scored
2.50
1.30
Conceded
1.00
20%
Over 2.5
70%
40%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.10
1H goals
2.00
0.80
2H goals
1.50
60%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
6.10N=10
For
6.90N=10
4.30
Against
3.50
10.40
Total
10.40
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.60
Goals scored
2.50
1.30
Goals conceded
1.00
1.90
Total goals
3.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Brighton attack
0.60goals per matchLiverpool conceded1.00Matchup
Liverpool attack
2.50goals per matchBrighton conceded1.30Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
1.50
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.30
2H goals scored
1.00
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.10N=10
Corners for
6.90N=10
4.30
Corners against
3.50
10.40
Match total
10.40
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.70N=10
For
1.50N=10
4.40
Match total
3.70
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.30N=10
Committed
9.80N=10
20.70
Match total
17.90
Shots
14.40N=10
Shots
16.30N=10
3.10
On target
6.00
4%
Conversion
15%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches91
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home15.5%15.4%-0.1 pp
Draw21.5%20.9%-0.7 pp
Away62.9%63.7%+0.8 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.581.3%
Over 2.560.4%
Over 3.527.5%
BTTS57.1%
Historical average
0.85–1.99
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-218.7%
1-19.9%
0-18.8%
0-28.8%
2-17.7%
Comparable corner averages
3.84–6.66
Average total10.49
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=91.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.571.4%
Over 9.562.6%
Over 10.548.4%
Over 11.535.2%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches23
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT8.7%2.4%–26.8% CI
Draw FT47.8%29.2%–67.0% CI
Away FT43.5%25.6%–63.2% CI
Remaining goals
1.39
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal78.3%
2+ goals43.5%
3+ goals13.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home43.5%
Away69.6%