Premier League · 2021/22
2022-03-10 · 19:45
12.7235.4%
X3.5926.8%
22.5437.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Leeds
WDDWDLWLLL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Aston Villa
LLLWLWLWLW
4W 0D 6L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.00
1.80
Conceded
1.10
50%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.10
1.60
2H goals
1.00
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.60N=10
For
5.30N=10
3.90
Against
6.90
9.50
Total
12.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.00
1.80
Goals conceded
1.10
3.00
Total goals
2.10
70%7/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
60%6/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Leeds attack

1.20goals per match
Aston Villa conceded1.10
Matchup

Aston Villa attack

1.00goals per match
Leeds conceded1.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.50
1.00
1H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.50
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.60N=10
Corners for
5.30N=10
3.90
Corners against
6.90
9.50
Match total
12.20
70%7/10
Over 8.5
100%10/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.20N=10
For
2.80N=10
5.40
Match total
5.50
70%7/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

12.30N=10
Committed
11.40N=10
23.50
Match total
26.10

Shots

16.30N=10
Shots
11.30N=10
4.40
On target
3.20
7%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches156
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home35.4%44.2%+8.9 pp
Draw26.8%21.2%-5.6 pp
Away37.9%34.6%-3.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.578.8%
Over 2.555.1%
Over 3.530.8%
BTTS60.3%

Historical average

1.461.33

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-111.5%
1-110.3%
3-19.0%
1-08.3%
1-28.3%

Comparable corner averages

5.425.13
Average total10.54

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=156.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.571.2%
Over 9.560.9%
Over 10.549.4%
Over 11.536.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches49
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT46.9%33.7%–60.6% CI
Draw FT28.6%17.8%–42.4% CI
Away FT24.5%14.6%–38.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.71

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal83.7%
2+ goals51.0%
3+ goals22.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home61.2%
Away49.0%