Premier League · 2021/22
2022-03-10 · 19:45
12.7235.4%
X3.5926.8%
22.5437.9%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Leeds
WDDWDLWLLL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Aston Villa
LLLWLWLWLW
4W 0D 6L · 1.20 PPM
Goals
1.20
Scored
1.00
1.80
Conceded
1.10
50%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.40
1H goals
1.10
1.60
2H goals
1.00
80%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
5.60N=10
For
5.30N=10
3.90
Against
6.90
9.50
Total
12.20
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.00
1.80
Goals conceded
1.10
3.00
Total goals
2.10
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Leeds attack
1.20goals per matchAston Villa conceded1.10Matchup
Aston Villa attack
1.00goals per matchLeeds conceded1.80Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.50
1.00
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.80
2H goals scored
0.50
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.60N=10
Corners for
5.30N=10
3.90
Corners against
6.90
9.50
Match total
12.20
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
3.20N=10
For
2.80N=10
5.40
Match total
5.50
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.30N=10
Committed
11.40N=10
23.50
Match total
26.10
Shots
16.30N=10
Shots
11.30N=10
4.40
On target
3.20
7%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches156
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home35.4%44.2%+8.9 pp
Draw26.8%21.2%-5.6 pp
Away37.9%34.6%-3.2 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.578.8%
Over 2.555.1%
Over 3.530.8%
BTTS60.3%
Historical average
1.46–1.33
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-111.5%
1-110.3%
3-19.0%
1-08.3%
1-28.3%
Comparable corner averages
5.42–5.13
Average total10.54
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=156.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.571.2%
Over 9.560.9%
Over 10.549.4%
Over 11.536.5%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches49
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT46.9%33.7%–60.6% CI
Draw FT28.6%17.8%–42.4% CI
Away FT24.5%14.6%–38.1% CI
Remaining goals
1.71
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal83.7%
2+ goals51.0%
3+ goals22.4%
Who scores in 2H
Home61.2%
Away49.0%