Premier League · 2021/22
2022-03-10 · 19:30
12.0048.1%
X3.7026.0%
23.7125.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Southampton
WDWDDDWDWW
5W 5D 0L · 2.00 PPM
Newcastle
DLDDLLLWDW
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
0.90
0.80
Conceded
1.50
30%
Over 2.5
30%
60%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.20
1.10
2H goals
1.20
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.90N=10
For
5.20N=10
4.70
Against
4.40
10.60
Total
9.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
0.90
0.80
Goals conceded
1.50
2.50
Total goals
2.40
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Southampton attack

1.70goals per match
Newcastle conceded1.50
Matchup

Newcastle attack

0.90goals per match
Southampton conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.60
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.30
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.90N=10
Corners for
5.20N=10
4.70
Corners against
4.40
10.60
Match total
9.60
50%5/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
2.80N=10
3.60
Match total
5.20
60%6/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

12.20N=10
Committed
9.10N=10
21.80
Match total
19.90

Shots

14.70N=10
Shots
12.00N=10
5.40
On target
3.80
12%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches263
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home48.1%42.2%-5.9 pp
Draw26.0%29.3%+3.3 pp
Away25.9%28.5%+2.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.577.6%
Over 2.555.9%
Over 3.535.0%
BTTS57.8%

Historical average

1.621.25

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-111.8%
2-19.1%
2-28.4%
0-18.0%
0-07.6%

Comparable corner averages

5.814.31
Average total10.12

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=263.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.570.0%
Over 9.556.7%
Over 10.544.5%
Over 11.531.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches70
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT30.0%20.5%–41.5% CI
Draw FT40.0%29.3%–51.7% CI
Away FT30.0%20.5%–41.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.47

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal71.4%
2+ goals42.9%
3+ goals22.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.0%
Away50.0%