Premier League · 2021/22
2022-03-10 · 19:30
111.908.1%
X5.5917.2%
21.2974.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Norwich
LWDLLLWDLL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Chelsea
WWWLDWLDWW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM

Goals

0.70
Scored
1.90
2.00
Conceded
0.70
60%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.00
1.70
2H goals
1.60
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.30N=10
For
4.40N=10
6.20
Against
3.90
11.50
Total
8.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.70
Goals scored
1.90
2.00
Goals conceded
0.70
2.70
Total goals
2.60
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Norwich attack

0.70goals per match
Chelsea conceded0.70
Matchup

Chelsea attack

1.90goals per match
Norwich conceded2.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.70
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.30
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.30
2H goals scored
1.20
1.40
2H goals conceded
0.40
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
4.40N=10
6.20
Corners against
3.90
11.50
Match total
8.30
70%7/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
1.90N=10
3.90
Match total
3.70
60%6/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

10.70N=10
Committed
10.20N=10
23.70
Match total
21.10

Shots

10.00N=10
Shots
11.90N=10
3.50
On target
4.10
7%
Conversion
16%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches25
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home8.1%4.0%-4.1 pp
Draw17.2%16.0%-1.2 pp
Away74.7%80.0%+5.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.564.0%
Over 2.536.0%
Over 3.520.0%
BTTS32.0%

Historical average

0.401.92

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-128.0%
0-220.0%
1-18.0%
1-38.0%
1-28.0%

Comparable corner averages

3.166.40
Average total9.56

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=25.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.552.0%
Over 9.548.0%
Over 10.544.0%
Over 11.536.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT20.0%5.7%–51.0% CI
Draw FT30.0%10.8%–60.3% CI
Away FT50.0%23.7%–76.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.60

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal70.0%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals30.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home30.0%
Away60.0%