Super Lig · 2025/26
2026-05-16 · 15:00
12.6634.5%
X3.2628.2%
22.4637.3%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Karagumruk
WLDLWDWWLW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Alanyaspor
DDDDDLDDLD
0W 8D 2L · 0.80 PPM
Goals
1.10
Scored
0.90
0.90
Conceded
1.20
30%
Over 2.5
30%
40%
BTTS
70%
By half
1.30
1H goals
0.90
0.70
2H goals
1.20
40%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
3.30N=10
For
4.60N=10
6.10
Against
3.40
9.40
Total
8.00
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
0.90
0.90
Goals conceded
1.20
2.00
Total goals
2.10
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Karagumruk attack
1.10goals per matchAlanyaspor conceded1.20Matchup
Alanyaspor attack
0.90goals per matchKaragumruk conceded0.90Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.40
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.20
2H goals scored
0.50
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
3.30N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
6.10
Corners against
3.40
9.40
Match total
8.00
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.40N=10
For
3.40N=10
3.60
Match total
5.50
Over 3.5
Fouls
14.50N=10
Committed
11.80N=10
26.90
Match total
26.90
Shots
10.00N=10
Shots
13.00N=10
3.40
On target
3.50
11%
Conversion
7%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches925
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home34.5%32.8%-1.8 pp
Draw28.2%28.5%+0.4 pp
Away37.3%38.7%+1.4 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.571.7%
Over 2.547.1%
Over 3.524.8%
BTTS53.5%
Historical average
1.20–1.34
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-113.4%
1-010.7%
0-19.5%
1-28.6%
0-08.1%
Comparable corner averages
4.89–4.92
Average total9.81
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=925.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.563.2%
Over 9.550.8%
Over 10.540.1%
Over 11.530.1%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches296
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT29.1%24.2%–34.5% CI
Draw FT38.9%33.5%–44.5% CI
Away FT32.1%27.0%–37.6% CI
Remaining goals
1.36
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal74.7%
2+ goals38.9%
3+ goals14.5%
Who scores in 2H
Home47.6%
Away51.4%