Super Lig · 2024/25
2025-03-16 · 17:30
11.3768.4%
X4.8419.4%
27.6812.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Fenerbahce
LWWWWWWWWW
9W 0D 1L · 2.70 PPM
Samsunspor
WWLLDWDLWD
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM

Goals

2.70
Scored
1.30
1.10
Conceded
1.40
90%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.80
1H goals
0.70
2.00
2H goals
2.00
80%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

8.80N=10
For
4.60N=10
2.50
Against
4.10
11.30
Total
8.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.70
Goals scored
1.30
1.10
Goals conceded
1.40
3.80
Total goals
2.70
100%10/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
90%9/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Fenerbahce attack

2.70goals per match
Samsunspor conceded1.40
Matchup

Samsunspor attack

1.30goals per match
Fenerbahce conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.20
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.50
100%10/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.60
2H goals scored
1.10
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
8.80N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
2.50
Corners against
4.10
11.30
Match total
8.70
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
2.70N=10
5.60
Match total
5.00
70%7/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

11.90N=10
Committed
12.70N=10
24.70
Match total
24.20

Shots

20.40N=10
Shots
10.20N=10
7.50
On target
3.80
13%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches212
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home68.4%70.3%+1.9 pp
Draw19.4%16.5%-2.9 pp
Away12.2%13.2%+1.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.579.7%
Over 2.558.5%
Over 3.535.4%
BTTS51.9%

Historical average

2.180.84

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-013.2%
1-012.7%
2-111.8%
1-17.5%
2-27.1%

Comparable corner averages

6.743.31
Average total10.05

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=212.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.5%
Over 9.551.4%
Over 10.539.6%
Over 11.531.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches47
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT63.8%49.5%–76.0% CI
Draw FT23.4%13.6%–37.2% CI
Away FT12.8%6.0%–25.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.79

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal91.5%
2+ goals55.3%
3+ goals23.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home83.0%
Away38.3%