Super Lig · 2023/24
2024-05-25 · 14:00
11.8052.1%
X3.7924.8%
24.0623.1%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Karagumruk
LWDWWDDLWL
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Samsunspor
LLDDDLLDLL
0W 4D 6L · 0.40 PPM
Goals
2.00
Scored
0.60
1.30
Conceded
1.70
60%
Over 2.5
40%
70%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.40
1H goals
1.10
1.90
2H goals
1.20
100%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
4.10N=10
For
4.20N=10
6.00
Against
3.60
10.10
Total
7.80
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateBoth teams scored
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
0.60
1.30
Goals conceded
1.70
3.30
Total goals
2.30
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Karagumruk attack
2.00goals per matchSamsunspor conceded1.70Matchup
Samsunspor attack
0.60goals per matchKaragumruk conceded1.30Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.00
0.50
1H goals conceded
1.10
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.10
2H goals scored
0.60
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.10N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
6.00
Corners against
3.60
10.10
Match total
7.80
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.00N=10
For
2.40N=10
3.40
Match total
4.40
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.20N=10
Committed
15.50N=10
24.00
Match total
27.40
Shots
12.40N=10
Shots
11.30N=10
5.50
On target
3.30
16%
Conversion
5%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches180
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home52.1%60.0%+7.9 pp
Draw24.8%23.9%-0.9 pp
Away23.1%16.1%-7.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.587.2%
Over 2.562.8%
Over 3.536.7%
BTTS61.1%
Historical average
2.00–1.07
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-113.3%
2-010.6%
2-110.6%
1-08.9%
2-28.3%
Comparable corner averages
6.04–4.28
Average total10.32
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=180.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.566.1%
Over 9.553.3%
Over 10.544.4%
Over 11.535.6%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches39
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT56.4%41.0%–70.7% CI
Draw FT25.6%14.6%–41.1% CI
Away FT17.9%9.0%–32.7% CI
Remaining goals
2.23
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal94.9%
2+ goals71.8%
3+ goals33.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home82.1%
Away53.8%