Super Lig · 2023/24
2024-05-12 · 17:00
16.2615.0%
X4.6120.3%
21.4564.7%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Karagumruk
WLWDWWDDLW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Galatasaray
WDDWWWWWWW
8W 2D 0L · 2.60 PPM
Goals
2.10
Scored
2.50
1.00
Conceded
0.50
60%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
30%
By half
1.30
1H goals
1.00
1.80
2H goals
2.00
100%
Goal in 2H
60%
Corners
3.90N=10
For
7.30N=10
5.50
Against
4.30
9.40
Total
11.60
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
2.50
1.00
Goals conceded
0.50
3.10
Total goals
3.00
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Karagumruk attack
2.10goals per matchGalatasaray conceded0.50Matchup
Galatasaray attack
2.50goals per matchKaragumruk conceded1.00Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.90
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.10
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.20
2H goals scored
1.60
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
3.90N=10
Corners for
7.30N=10
5.50
Corners against
4.30
9.40
Match total
11.60
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.30N=10
For
1.70N=10
3.80
Match total
3.60
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.30N=10
Committed
13.90N=10
24.10
Match total
24.80
Shots
12.40N=10
Shots
17.50N=10
5.50
On target
6.60
17%
Conversion
14%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches83
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home15.0%21.7%+6.7 pp
Draw20.3%7.2%-13.1 pp
Away64.7%71.1%+6.4 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.578.3%
Over 2.562.7%
Over 3.533.7%
BTTS45.8%
Historical average
0.92–2.07
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-113.3%
0-313.3%
0-212.0%
1-310.8%
1-28.4%
Comparable corner averages
3.52–6.13
Average total9.65
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=83.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.565.1%
Over 9.551.8%
Over 10.541.0%
Over 11.524.1%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches16
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT12.5%3.5%–36.0% CI
Draw FT12.5%3.5%–36.0% CI
Away FT75.0%50.5%–89.8% CI
Remaining goals
1.75
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal93.8%
2+ goals43.8%
3+ goals25.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home31.3%
Away81.3%