Super Lig · 2023/24
2024-05-12 · 17:00
11.1680.8%
X7.8012.0%
213.037.2%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Fenerbahce
WDWDWDWWWW
7W 3D 0L · 2.40 PPM
Kayserispor
LLLLDWLLDW
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Goals
2.80
Scored
0.80
1.10
Conceded
1.80
80%
Over 2.5
50%
90%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.60
1H goals
1.10
2.30
2H goals
1.50
80%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
5.90N=10
For
3.70N=10
1.70
Against
5.10
7.60
Total
8.80
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.80
Goals scored
0.80
1.10
Goals conceded
1.80
3.90
Total goals
2.60
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Fenerbahce attack
2.80goals per matchKayserispor conceded1.80Matchup
Kayserispor attack
0.80goals per matchFenerbahce conceded1.10Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.20
1H goals scored
0.50
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.60
2H goals scored
0.30
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.20
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.90N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
1.70
Corners against
5.10
7.60
Match total
8.80
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.10N=10
For
3.10N=10
5.10
Match total
4.10
Over 3.5
Fouls
14.10N=10
Committed
14.90N=10
31.50
Match total
23.10
Shots
16.80N=10
Shots
12.40N=10
6.30
On target
4.10
17%
Conversion
6%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches39
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home80.8%84.6%+3.8 pp
Draw12.0%10.3%-1.8 pp
Away7.2%5.1%-2.1 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.594.9%
Over 2.576.9%
Over 3.551.3%
BTTS43.6%
Historical average
3.15–0.67
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
3-020.5%
2-015.4%
6-17.7%
5-07.7%
3-15.1%
Comparable corner averages
7.18–2.72
Average total9.90
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=39.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.566.7%
Over 9.553.8%
Over 10.548.7%
Over 11.525.6%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches16
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT50.0%28.0%–72.0% CI
Draw FT31.3%14.2%–55.6% CI
Away FT18.8%6.6%–43.0% CI
Remaining goals
1.44
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal87.5%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals6.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home68.8%
Away37.5%