Super Lig · 2023/24
2024-05-04 · 17:00
12.7034.8%
X3.3028.5%
22.5636.7%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Samsunspor
DWWWLWWWDD
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
Trabzonspor
WWWDLLWLWW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Goals
1.40
Scored
1.60
0.50
Conceded
1.00
20%
Over 2.5
50%
30%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.00
1H goals
0.78
0.90
2H goals
1.78
70%
Goal in 2H
89%
Corners
4.30N=10
For
4.11N=9
4.90
Against
4.00
9.20
Total
8.11
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 8/9 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.60
0.50
Goals conceded
1.00
1.90
Total goals
2.60
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Samsunspor attack
1.40goals per matchTrabzonspor conceded1.00Matchup
Trabzonspor attack
1.60goals per matchSamsunspor conceded0.50Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=9
0.50
1H goals scored
0.44
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.33
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.90
2H goals scored
1.00
0.00
2H goals conceded
0.78
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=9
4.30N=10
Corners for
4.11N=9
4.90
Corners against
4.00
9.20
Match total
8.11
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.00N=10
For
1.22N=9
3.50
Match total
2.89
Over 3.5
Fouls
15.90N=10
Committed
9.44N=9
25.40
Match total
24.67
Shots
13.20N=10
Shots
12.00N=9
4.70
On target
4.00
11%
Conversion
12%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches551
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home34.8%32.1%-2.7 pp
Draw28.5%27.4%-1.1 pp
Away36.7%40.5%+3.8 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.574.0%
Over 2.550.8%
Over 3.528.3%
BTTS57.0%
Historical average
1.30–1.41
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-113.6%
0-110.5%
1-29.1%
1-08.3%
2-17.6%
Comparable corner averages
5.04–5.09
Average total10.13
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=551.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.567.7%
Over 9.553.4%
Over 10.543.7%
Over 11.533.8%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches165
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT27.3%21.1%–34.5% CI
Draw FT38.2%31.1%–45.8% CI
Away FT34.5%27.7%–42.1% CI
Remaining goals
1.43
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal76.4%
2+ goals41.2%
3+ goals15.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home48.5%
Away56.4%