Super Lig · 2023/24
2024-05-04 · 17:00
12.3140.7%
X3.4627.2%
22.9232.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Kayserispor
WLLLDDWDLL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Karagumruk
LLLLLDLLLW
1W 1D 8L · 0.40 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
0.50
1.60
Conceded
1.90
40%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.20
1H goals
0.80
1.60
2H goals
1.60
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.10N=10
For
6.10N=10
4.20
Against
4.70
9.30
Total
10.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
0.50
1.60
Goals conceded
1.90
2.80
Total goals
2.40
80%8/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Kayserispor attack

1.20goals per match
Karagumruk conceded1.90
Matchup

Karagumruk attack

0.50goals per match
Kayserispor conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.20
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
0%0/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.30
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.30
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.10N=10
Corners for
6.10N=10
4.20
Corners against
4.70
9.30
Match total
10.80
60%6/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.30N=10
For
2.60N=10
4.70
Match total
4.50
60%6/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

13.10N=10
Committed
11.50N=10
22.90
Match total
26.00

Shots

14.00N=10
Shots
12.60N=10
4.00
On target
3.40
9%
Conversion
4%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches352
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home40.7%40.1%-0.6 pp
Draw27.2%29.0%+1.8 pp
Away32.2%31.0%-1.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.582.1%
Over 2.557.1%
Over 3.536.4%
BTTS62.2%

Historical average

1.551.38

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.6%
2-18.2%
1-08.2%
2-28.2%
1-28.2%

Comparable corner averages

5.314.83
Average total10.15

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=351.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.8%
Over 9.556.4%
Over 10.543.0%
Over 11.532.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches92
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT34.8%25.8%–44.9% CI
Draw FT38.0%28.8%–48.3% CI
Away FT27.2%19.1%–37.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.58

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal78.3%
2+ goals45.7%
3+ goals21.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home58.7%
Away48.9%