Super Lig · 2023/24
2024-04-28 · 14:00
11.3669.0%
X4.9918.8%
27.7112.2%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Alanyaspor
LDWDWDDWWL
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Istanbulspor
LLDWLLDDLW
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Goals
1.60
Scored
1.00
1.70
Conceded
1.50
70%
Over 2.5
50%
70%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.10
1H goals
0.80
2.20
2H goals
1.70
100%
Goal in 2H
100%
Corners
4.10N=10
For
4.80N=10
4.70
Against
6.10
8.80
Total
10.90
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.00
1.70
Goals conceded
1.50
3.30
Total goals
2.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Alanyaspor attack
1.60goals per matchIstanbulspor conceded1.50Matchup
Istanbulspor attack
1.00goals per matchAlanyaspor conceded1.70Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.20
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.80
2H goals scored
0.80
1.40
2H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.10N=10
Corners for
4.80N=10
4.70
Corners against
6.10
8.80
Match total
10.90
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.50N=10
For
2.70N=10
3.90
Match total
4.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.10N=10
Committed
13.50N=10
24.90
Match total
23.80
Shots
12.60N=10
Shots
9.80N=10
4.20
On target
4.00
13%
Conversion
10%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches95
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home69.0%69.5%+0.5 pp
Draw18.8%26.3%+7.5 pp
Away12.2%4.2%-8.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.580.0%
Over 2.558.9%
Over 3.538.9%
BTTS54.7%
Historical average
2.28–0.79
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-011.6%
2-111.6%
1-09.5%
1-19.5%
2-28.4%
Comparable corner averages
6.16–3.31
Average total9.47
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=94.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.562.8%
Over 9.552.1%
Over 10.537.2%
Over 11.525.5%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches23
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT52.2%33.0%–70.8% CI
Draw FT43.5%25.6%–63.2% CI
Away FT4.3%0.8%–21.0% CI
Remaining goals
1.35
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal69.6%
2+ goals47.8%
3+ goals17.4%
Who scores in 2H
Home65.2%
Away21.7%