Super Lig · 2023/24
2024-04-20 · 17:00
12.2142.5%
X3.3927.7%
23.1529.8%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Samsunspor
WDWWWLWWWD
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Ad. Demirspor
LDDLDLDLDL
0W 5D 5L · 0.50 PPM
Goals
1.70
Scored
1.10
0.60
Conceded
1.80
30%
Over 2.5
60%
30%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.10
1H goals
1.40
1.20
2H goals
1.50
70%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
3.90N=10
For
4.60N=10
4.90
Against
5.60
8.80
Total
10.20
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
1.10
0.60
Goals conceded
1.80
2.30
Total goals
2.90
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Samsunspor attack
1.70goals per matchAd. Demirspor conceded1.80Matchup
Ad. Demirspor attack
1.10goals per matchSamsunspor conceded0.60Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.30
0.40
1H goals conceded
1.10
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.00
2H goals scored
0.80
0.20
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
3.90N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
4.90
Corners against
5.60
8.80
Match total
10.20
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.90N=10
For
1.40N=10
3.10
Match total
3.50
Over 3.5
Fouls
15.60N=10
Committed
11.20N=10
25.40
Match total
26.20
Shots
13.00N=10
Shots
13.30N=10
4.90
On target
4.60
13%
Conversion
8%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches794
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home42.5%43.1%+0.6 pp
Draw27.7%28.5%+0.8 pp
Away29.8%28.5%-1.3 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.573.8%
Over 2.548.6%
Over 3.527.5%
BTTS52.4%
Historical average
1.47–1.16
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-113.1%
1-010.7%
0-08.3%
2-18.2%
2-07.7%
Comparable corner averages
5.70–4.39
Average total10.09
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=793.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.565.2%
Over 9.555.1%
Over 10.541.6%
Over 11.531.1%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches247
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT37.7%31.8%–43.8% CI
Draw FT38.9%33.0%–45.1% CI
Away FT23.5%18.6%–29.1% CI
Remaining goals
1.32
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal73.3%
2+ goals38.9%
3+ goals15.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home55.1%
Away41.7%