Super Lig · 2023/24
2024-04-20 · 11:30
15.0018.8%
X4.0023.5%
21.6357.7%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Istanbulspor
WLLLDDLLLL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM
Karagumruk
LLLLLLDLLL
0W 1D 9L · 0.10 PPM
Goals
0.60
Scored
0.40
2.20
Conceded
2.00
60%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.33
1H goals
1.10
1.44
2H goals
1.30
89%
Goal in 2H
60%
Corners
4.22N=9
For
5.80N=10
6.11
Against
4.80
10.33
Total
10.60
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
8/9 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/9 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.60
Goals scored
0.40
2.20
Goals conceded
2.00
2.80
Total goals
2.40
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Istanbulspor attack
0.60goals per matchKaragumruk conceded2.00Matchup
Karagumruk attack
0.40goals per matchIstanbulspor conceded2.20Timing
First & second half
N=9 N=10
0.44
1H goals scored
0.30
0.89
1H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.22
2H goals scored
0.10
1.22
2H goals conceded
1.20
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=9 N=10
4.22N=9
Corners for
5.80N=10
6.11
Corners against
4.80
10.33
Match total
10.60
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.44N=9
For
3.00N=10
4.11
Match total
5.00
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.89N=9
Committed
11.70N=10
24.44
Match total
26.60
Shots
11.22N=9
Shots
11.30N=10
4.89
On target
3.10
6%
Conversion
4%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches141
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home18.8%17.7%-1.1 pp
Draw23.5%17.7%-5.8 pp
Away57.7%64.5%+6.9 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.580.9%
Over 2.561.0%
Over 3.533.3%
BTTS58.9%
Historical average
0.96–1.91
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-213.5%
1-312.1%
0-29.9%
0-19.2%
1-18.5%
Comparable corner averages
4.21–5.95
Average total10.16
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=141.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.567.4%
Over 9.555.3%
Over 10.541.8%
Over 11.531.2%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches33
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT18.2%8.6%–34.4% CI
Draw FT42.4%27.2%–59.2% CI
Away FT39.4%24.7%–56.3% CI
Remaining goals
1.36
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal72.7%
2+ goals42.4%
3+ goals18.2%
Who scores in 2H
Home42.4%
Away60.6%