Super Lig · 2023/24
2024-04-14 · 14:00
11.4465.5%
X4.4721.1%
27.0313.4%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Hatayspor
WDLDDDWDLW
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM
Istanbulspor
LLLDWLLDDL
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM
Goals
1.50
Scored
0.70
1.20
Conceded
1.60
50%
Over 2.5
40%
70%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.10
1H goals
0.90
1.60
2H goals
1.40
80%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
3.80N=10
For
4.70N=10
5.60
Against
6.30
9.40
Total
11.00
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
0.70
1.20
Goals conceded
1.60
2.70
Total goals
2.30
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Hatayspor attack
1.50goals per matchIstanbulspor conceded1.60Matchup
Istanbulspor attack
0.70goals per matchHatayspor conceded1.20Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.20
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.00
2H goals scored
0.50
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
3.80N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
5.60
Corners against
6.30
9.40
Match total
11.00
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.20N=10
For
2.70N=10
3.80
Match total
4.20
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.50N=10
Committed
13.30N=10
21.80
Match total
23.60
Shots
9.20N=10
Shots
9.00N=10
3.90
On target
3.30
16%
Conversion
8%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches153
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home65.5%73.2%+7.7 pp
Draw21.1%14.4%-6.7 pp
Away13.4%12.4%-1.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.575.2%
Over 2.546.4%
Over 3.523.5%
BTTS35.9%
Historical average
1.98–0.59
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-019.6%
1-013.7%
2-113.7%
0-17.2%
3-07.2%
Comparable corner averages
6.15–3.42
Average total9.58
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=153.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.564.1%
Over 9.548.4%
Over 10.536.6%
Over 11.525.5%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches51
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT58.8%45.2%–71.2% CI
Draw FT21.6%12.5%–34.6% CI
Away FT19.6%11.0%–32.5% CI
Remaining goals
1.73
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal88.2%
2+ goals52.9%
3+ goals21.6%
Who scores in 2H
Home72.5%
Away37.3%