Super Lig · 2023/24
2024-04-13 · 17:00
11.7653.5%
X3.6925.5%
24.4921.0%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Besiktas
WLLLWDWWLL
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Samsunspor
LLWLLDDDLL
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM
Goals
1.20
Scored
0.80
1.20
Conceded
1.70
50%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.00
1H goals
0.90
1.40
2H goals
1.60
80%
Goal in 2H
100%
Corners
5.80N=10
For
3.90N=10
5.00
Against
4.20
10.80
Total
8.10
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
0.80
1.20
Goals conceded
1.70
2.40
Total goals
2.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Besiktas attack
1.20goals per matchSamsunspor conceded1.70Matchup
Samsunspor attack
0.80goals per matchBesiktas conceded1.20Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.20
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.80
2H goals scored
0.60
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.80N=10
Corners for
3.90N=10
5.00
Corners against
4.20
10.80
Match total
8.10
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.80N=10
For
2.30N=10
4.60
Match total
4.10
Over 3.5
Fouls
15.00N=10
Committed
14.90N=10
26.60
Match total
25.10
Shots
14.10N=10
Shots
11.40N=10
4.30
On target
4.30
9%
Conversion
7%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches505
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home53.5%55.0%+1.5 pp
Draw25.5%26.9%+1.4 pp
Away21.0%18.0%-3.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.574.7%
Over 2.550.3%
Over 3.528.7%
BTTS52.3%
Historical average
1.72–0.96
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-112.7%
1-011.9%
1-110.9%
2-010.5%
0-08.7%
Comparable corner averages
6.12–4.03
Average total10.15
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=505.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.566.1%
Over 9.553.9%
Over 10.542.2%
Over 11.533.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches163
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT45.4%37.9%–53.1% CI
Draw FT39.3%32.1%–46.9% CI
Away FT15.3%10.6%–21.7% CI
Remaining goals
1.30
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal73.0%
2+ goals40.5%
3+ goals12.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home60.7%
Away35.0%