Super Lig · 2023/24
2024-04-13 · 17:00
11.7653.5%
X3.6925.5%
24.4921.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Besiktas
WLLLWDWWLL
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Samsunspor
LLWLLDDDLL
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
0.80
1.20
Conceded
1.70
50%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.00
1H goals
0.90
1.40
2H goals
1.60
80%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

5.80N=10
For
3.90N=10
5.00
Against
4.20
10.80
Total
8.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
0.80
1.20
Goals conceded
1.70
2.40
Total goals
2.50
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Besiktas attack

1.20goals per match
Samsunspor conceded1.70
Matchup

Samsunspor attack

0.80goals per match
Besiktas conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.20
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.70
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.60
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.00
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.80N=10
Corners for
3.90N=10
5.00
Corners against
4.20
10.80
Match total
8.10
80%8/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.80N=10
For
2.30N=10
4.60
Match total
4.10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

15.00N=10
Committed
14.90N=10
26.60
Match total
25.10

Shots

14.10N=10
Shots
11.40N=10
4.30
On target
4.30
9%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches505
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home53.5%55.0%+1.5 pp
Draw25.5%26.9%+1.4 pp
Away21.0%18.0%-3.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.574.7%
Over 2.550.3%
Over 3.528.7%
BTTS52.3%

Historical average

1.720.96

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-112.7%
1-011.9%
1-110.9%
2-010.5%
0-08.7%

Comparable corner averages

6.124.03
Average total10.15

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=505.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.1%
Over 9.553.9%
Over 10.542.2%
Over 11.533.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches163
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT45.4%37.9%–53.1% CI
Draw FT39.3%32.1%–46.9% CI
Away FT15.3%10.6%–21.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.30

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.0%
2+ goals40.5%
3+ goals12.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home60.7%
Away35.0%