Super Lig · 2023/24
2024-04-03 · 15:00
12.5537.0%
X3.2029.5%
22.8133.6%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Sivasspor
LDDWDDWWWL
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Karagumruk
LLLLLLLDLL
0W 1D 9L · 0.10 PPM
Goals
1.50
Scored
0.50
1.10
Conceded
2.10
40%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.40
1H goals
1.20
1.20
2H goals
1.40
70%
Goal in 2H
60%
Corners
4.40N=10
For
5.30N=10
5.90
Against
4.30
10.30
Total
9.60
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
0.50
1.10
Goals conceded
2.10
2.60
Total goals
2.60
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Sivasspor attack
1.50goals per matchKaragumruk conceded2.10Matchup
Karagumruk attack
0.50goals per matchSivasspor conceded1.10Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.40
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
0.10
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.30
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.40N=10
Corners for
5.30N=10
5.90
Corners against
4.30
10.30
Match total
9.60
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.70N=10
For
3.00N=10
4.40
Match total
5.40
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.60N=10
Committed
12.10N=10
24.80
Match total
27.80
Shots
14.00N=10
Shots
10.40N=10
5.90
On target
2.70
11%
Conversion
5%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches867
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home37.0%34.3%-2.7 pp
Draw29.5%32.2%+2.7 pp
Away33.6%33.6%+0.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.570.9%
Over 2.542.6%
Over 3.521.7%
BTTS52.1%
Historical average
1.19–1.20
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-116.7%
0-110.3%
1-09.7%
0-09.1%
2-18.4%
Comparable corner averages
5.13–4.59
Average total9.72
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=866.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.562.7%
Over 9.550.2%
Over 10.537.5%
Over 11.526.9%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches280
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT26.4%21.6%–31.9% CI
Draw FT44.3%38.6%–50.1% CI
Away FT29.3%24.3%–34.9% CI
Remaining goals
1.25
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal71.8%
2+ goals37.9%
3+ goals10.7%
Who scores in 2H
Home46.1%
Away48.6%