Premier League · 2020/21
2021-05-23 · 16:00
11.7255.8%
X4.0024.0%
24.7620.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

West Ham
WWLWWWDWLL
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Southampton
LLLLLWLLLL
1W 0D 9L · 0.30 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
0.70
1.20
Conceded
3.00
60%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.90
1.50
2H goals
1.80
60%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.70N=10
For
5.60N=10
5.20
Against
4.30
9.90
Total
9.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
0.70
1.20
Goals conceded
3.00
2.90
Total goals
3.70
70%7/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

West Ham attack

1.70goals per match
Southampton conceded3.00
Matchup

Southampton attack

0.70goals per match
West Ham conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.40
0.30
1H goals conceded
1.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
70%7/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.30
0.90
2H goals conceded
1.50
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.70N=10
Corners for
5.60N=10
5.20
Corners against
4.30
9.90
Match total
9.90
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
1.60N=10
3.40
Match total
3.00
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

10.50N=10
Committed
9.90N=10
20.20
Match total
21.00

Shots

10.90N=10
Shots
10.90N=10
4.10
On target
4.10
16%
Conversion
6%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches100
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home55.8%59.0%+3.2 pp
Draw24.0%14.0%-10.0 pp
Away20.2%27.0%+6.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.587.0%
Over 2.568.0%
Over 3.535.0%
BTTS60.0%

Historical average

1.921.20

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-116.0%
1-210.0%
3-19.0%
2-09.0%
1-08.0%

Comparable corner averages

5.783.93
Average total9.71

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=100.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.0%
Over 9.549.0%
Over 10.537.0%
Over 11.522.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches16
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT43.8%23.1%–66.8% CI
Draw FT37.5%18.5%–61.4% CI
Away FT18.8%6.6%–43.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.94

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal87.5%
2+ goals68.8%
3+ goals25.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home75.0%
Away50.0%