Premier League · 2020/21
2021-05-23 · 16:00
11.4466.7%
X5.1818.5%
26.5114.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Leeds
LLWWLDWDDW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
West Brom
WLLLDLWLDL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.30
0.70
Conceded
1.90
40%
Over 2.5
70%
40%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.60
0.80
2H goals
1.60
60%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.90N=10
For
2.60N=10
4.70
Against
7.30
10.60
Total
9.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.30
0.70
Goals conceded
1.90
1.90
Total goals
3.20
60%6/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Leeds attack

1.20goals per match
West Brom conceded1.90
Matchup

West Brom attack

1.30goals per match
Leeds conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.50
0.70
1H goals conceded
1.10
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.80
0.00
2H goals conceded
0.80
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
10%1/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.90N=10
Corners for
2.60N=10
4.70
Corners against
7.30
10.60
Match total
9.90
50%5/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
1.30N=10
3.40
Match total
2.60
30%3/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10

Fouls

13.00N=10
Committed
10.60N=10
24.10
Match total
23.00

Shots

12.80N=10
Shots
9.20N=10
5.30
On target
2.90
9%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches16
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home66.7%81.3%+14.5 pp
Draw18.5%12.5%-6.0 pp
Away14.8%6.3%-8.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.587.5%
Over 2.562.5%
Over 3.550.0%
BTTS62.5%

Historical average

2.500.81

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

3-118.8%
1-012.5%
2-112.5%
1-112.5%
5-06.3%

Comparable corner averages

6.753.38
Average total10.13

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=16.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.575.0%
Over 9.562.5%
Over 10.537.5%
Over 11.531.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches21
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT61.9%40.9%–79.2% CI
Draw FT28.6%13.8%–50.0% CI
Away FT9.5%2.7%–28.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.81

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal85.7%
2+ goals61.9%
3+ goals14.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home76.2%
Away28.6%