Premier League · 2020/21
2021-05-23 · 16:00
16.6214.5%
X4.5621.1%
21.4964.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Aston Villa
LWLDLWLDLD
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Chelsea
WLWWDWDWWW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
1.30
1.50
Conceded
0.60
60%
Over 2.5
30%
60%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.10
1.50
2H goals
0.80
60%
Goal in 2H
50%

Corners

5.70N=10
For
5.50N=10
5.50
Against
3.60
11.20
Total
9.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.30
1.50
Goals conceded
0.60
2.50
Total goals
1.90
70%7/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
60%6/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Aston Villa attack

1.00goals per match
Chelsea conceded0.60
Matchup

Chelsea attack

1.30goals per match
Aston Villa conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.70
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.40
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.60
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.20
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
50%5/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.70N=10
Corners for
5.50N=10
5.50
Corners against
3.60
11.20
Match total
9.10
80%8/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
20%2/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
1.40N=10
2.60
Match total
2.70
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

12.70N=10
Committed
10.50N=10
25.80
Match total
21.40

Shots

11.90N=10
Shots
14.40N=10
3.90
On target
5.30
8%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches37
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home14.5%21.6%+7.1 pp
Draw21.1%13.5%-7.5 pp
Away64.4%64.9%+0.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.575.7%
Over 2.548.6%
Over 3.524.3%
BTTS35.1%

Historical average

0.701.92

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-218.9%
1-216.2%
1-010.8%
0-18.1%
2-25.4%

Comparable corner averages

3.956.43
Average total10.38

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=37.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.9%
Over 9.559.5%
Over 10.554.1%
Over 11.537.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT16.7%4.7%–44.8% CI
Draw FT25.0%8.9%–53.2% CI
Away FT58.3%32.0%–80.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.67

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal83.3%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals25.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home41.7%
Away66.7%