Premier League · 2020/21
2021-05-23 · 16:00
11.6259.3%
X4.2922.4%
25.2318.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Arsenal
DWDWLWLDLW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Brighton
LWWDLWLDLL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
0.70
1.00
Conceded
0.90
50%
Over 2.5
30%
40%
BTTS
40%

By half

0.80
1H goals
0.90
1.50
2H goals
0.70
70%
Goal in 2H
50%

Corners

5.40N=10
For
5.10N=10
3.50
Against
5.50
8.90
Total
10.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
0.70
1.00
Goals conceded
0.90
2.30
Total goals
1.60
60%6/10
Over 1.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
0%0/10
40%4/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Arsenal attack

1.30goals per match
Brighton conceded0.90
Matchup

Brighton attack

0.70goals per match
Arsenal conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.50
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.40
40%4/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.20
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
50%5/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.40N=10
Corners for
5.10N=10
3.50
Corners against
5.50
8.90
Match total
10.60
80%8/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

0.80N=10
For
0.70N=10
2.70
Match total
2.00
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10

Fouls

9.80N=10
Committed
8.90N=10
21.30
Match total
19.00

Shots

13.10N=10
Shots
9.60N=10
3.90
On target
3.30
10%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches86
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home59.3%62.8%+3.5 pp
Draw22.4%14.0%-8.4 pp
Away18.4%23.3%+4.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.579.1%
Over 2.561.6%
Over 3.530.2%
BTTS54.7%

Historical average

1.920.97

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-115.1%
1-014.0%
3-09.3%
1-19.3%
1-25.8%

Comparable corner averages

6.773.80
Average total10.57

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=86.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.574.4%
Over 9.559.3%
Over 10.546.5%
Over 11.536.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches27
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT59.3%40.7%–75.5% CI
Draw FT22.2%10.6%–40.8% CI
Away FT18.5%8.2%–36.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.63

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal96.3%
2+ goals44.4%
3+ goals22.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home81.5%
Away51.9%