Premier League · 2020/21
2021-05-19 · 20:15
110.828.9%
X6.6714.4%
21.2576.7%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Burnley
WLDDDDDLLL
1W 5D 4L · 0.80 PPM
Liverpool
LWWLWWWDWW
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM
Goals
0.90
Scored
2.00
1.60
Conceded
1.00
40%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.30
1H goals
0.90
1.20
2H goals
2.10
50%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
5.20N=10
For
6.10N=10
5.10
Against
4.30
10.30
Total
10.40
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateBoth teams scored
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
2.00
1.60
Goals conceded
1.00
2.50
Total goals
3.00
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Burnley attack
0.90goals per matchLiverpool conceded1.00Matchup
Liverpool attack
2.00goals per matchBurnley conceded1.60Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.60
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.50
2H goals scored
1.40
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
6.10N=10
5.10
Corners against
4.30
10.30
Match total
10.40
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.40N=10
For
1.00N=10
2.10
Match total
2.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
9.10N=10
Committed
10.70N=10
19.00
Match total
20.70
Shots
11.50N=10
Shots
16.40N=10
3.90
On target
5.70
8%
Conversion
12%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches16
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home8.9%12.5%+3.6 pp
Draw14.4%18.8%+4.4 pp
Away76.7%68.8%-8.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.5100.0%
Over 2.575.0%
Over 3.562.5%
BTTS68.8%
Historical average
1.19–2.63
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-218.8%
1-318.8%
2-212.5%
0-412.5%
4-36.3%
Comparable corner averages
2.88–6.63
Average total9.50
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=16.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.562.5%
Over 9.543.8%
Over 10.543.8%
Over 11.525.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT10.0%1.8%–40.4% CI
Draw FT30.0%10.8%–60.3% CI
Away FT60.0%31.3%–83.2% CI
Remaining goals
2.90
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal90.0%
2+ goals70.0%
3+ goals50.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home50.0%
Away80.0%