Premier League · 2020/21
2021-05-19 · 19:00
16.1415.6%
X4.4121.7%
21.5362.7%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Crystal Palace
WLWLDDWLLW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Arsenal
WWLLWDDWWW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Goals
1.00
Scored
2.10
1.40
Conceded
0.90
40%
Over 2.5
60%
30%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.40
1H goals
2.00
1.00
2H goals
1.00
60%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
3.10N=10
For
5.10N=10
5.20
Against
4.00
8.30
Total
9.10
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
2.10
1.40
Goals conceded
0.90
2.40
Total goals
3.00
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Crystal Palace attack
1.00goals per matchArsenal conceded0.90Matchup
Arsenal attack
2.10goals per matchCrystal Palace conceded1.40Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
1.20
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.50
2H goals scored
0.90
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.10
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
3.10N=10
Corners for
5.10N=10
5.20
Corners against
4.00
8.30
Match total
9.10
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.30N=10
For
1.40N=10
2.20
Match total
3.10
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.80N=10
Committed
7.40N=10
23.50
Match total
17.90
Shots
8.90N=10
Shots
13.40N=10
3.10
On target
4.90
11%
Conversion
16%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches62
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home15.6%12.9%-2.7 pp
Draw21.7%24.2%+2.5 pp
Away62.7%62.9%+0.3 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.575.8%
Over 2.556.5%
Over 3.525.8%
BTTS54.8%
Historical average
0.79–1.84
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-221.0%
1-19.7%
0-09.7%
0-18.1%
0-28.1%
Comparable corner averages
4.13–6.00
Average total10.13
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=62.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.562.9%
Over 9.558.1%
Over 10.543.5%
Over 11.535.5%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches19
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT10.5%2.9%–31.4% CI
Draw FT47.4%27.3%–68.3% CI
Away FT42.1%23.1%–63.7% CI
Remaining goals
1.37
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal68.4%
2+ goals42.1%
3+ goals21.1%
Who scores in 2H
Home42.1%
Away57.9%