Premier League · 2020/21
2021-05-19 · 19:00
16.1415.6%
X4.4121.7%
21.5362.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Crystal Palace
WLWLDDWLLW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Arsenal
WWLLWDDWWW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
2.10
1.40
Conceded
0.90
40%
Over 2.5
60%
30%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.40
1H goals
2.00
1.00
2H goals
1.00
60%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

3.10N=10
For
5.10N=10
5.20
Against
4.00
8.30
Total
9.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
2.10
1.40
Goals conceded
0.90
2.40
Total goals
3.00
60%6/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Crystal Palace attack

1.00goals per match
Arsenal conceded0.90
Matchup

Arsenal attack

2.10goals per match
Crystal Palace conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
1.20
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.80
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
100%10/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
60%6/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.90
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.10
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
10%1/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.10N=10
Corners for
5.10N=10
5.20
Corners against
4.00
8.30
Match total
9.10
40%4/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.30N=10
For
1.40N=10
2.20
Match total
3.10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

10.80N=10
Committed
7.40N=10
23.50
Match total
17.90

Shots

8.90N=10
Shots
13.40N=10
3.10
On target
4.90
11%
Conversion
16%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches62
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home15.6%12.9%-2.7 pp
Draw21.7%24.2%+2.5 pp
Away62.7%62.9%+0.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.575.8%
Over 2.556.5%
Over 3.525.8%
BTTS54.8%

Historical average

0.791.84

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-221.0%
1-19.7%
0-09.7%
0-18.1%
0-28.1%

Comparable corner averages

4.136.00
Average total10.13

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=62.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.9%
Over 9.558.1%
Over 10.543.5%
Over 11.535.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches19
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT10.5%2.9%–31.4% CI
Draw FT47.4%27.3%–68.3% CI
Away FT42.1%23.1%–63.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.37

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal68.4%
2+ goals42.1%
3+ goals21.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home42.1%
Away57.9%