Premier League · 2020/21
2021-05-19 · 18:00
11.5362.9%
X4.6520.7%
25.8516.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Tottenham
DLLWWWLWWW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Aston Villa
LLWDWLDLWL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

2.10
Scored
1.00
1.00
Conceded
1.30
60%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.00
1.90
2H goals
1.30
90%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

4.90N=10
For
3.60N=10
4.20
Against
6.20
9.10
Total
9.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
1.00
1.00
Goals conceded
1.30
3.10
Total goals
2.30
90%9/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Tottenham attack

2.10goals per match
Aston Villa conceded1.30
Matchup

Aston Villa attack

1.00goals per match
Tottenham conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.70
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.30
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
1.30
2H goals scored
0.30
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.00
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.90N=10
Corners for
3.60N=10
4.20
Corners against
6.20
9.10
Match total
9.80
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.20N=10
For
1.80N=10
3.10
Match total
3.30
30%3/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

10.90N=10
Committed
10.60N=10
23.70
Match total
24.60

Shots

13.40N=10
Shots
12.20N=10
5.80
On target
4.80
16%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches62
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home62.9%67.7%+4.9 pp
Draw20.7%14.5%-6.2 pp
Away16.4%17.7%+1.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.588.7%
Over 2.569.4%
Over 3.545.2%
BTTS59.7%

Historical average

2.391.03

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-012.9%
3-112.9%
2-111.3%
0-18.1%
1-16.5%

Comparable corner averages

6.233.98
Average total10.21

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=62.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.569.4%
Over 9.554.8%
Over 10.546.8%
Over 11.532.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT69.2%42.4%–87.3% CI
Draw FT7.7%1.4%–33.3% CI
Away FT23.1%8.2%–50.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.92

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal100.0%
2+ goals61.5%
3+ goals23.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home76.9%
Away38.5%