Premier League · 2020/21
2021-05-19 · 18:00
11.5362.9%
X4.6520.7%
25.8516.4%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Tottenham
DLLWWWLWWW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Aston Villa
LLWDWLDLWL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Goals
2.10
Scored
1.00
1.00
Conceded
1.30
60%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.20
1H goals
1.00
1.90
2H goals
1.30
90%
Goal in 2H
60%
Corners
4.90N=10
For
3.60N=10
4.20
Against
6.20
9.10
Total
9.80
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
1.00
1.00
Goals conceded
1.30
3.10
Total goals
2.30
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Tottenham attack
2.10goals per matchAston Villa conceded1.30Matchup
Aston Villa attack
1.00goals per matchTottenham conceded1.00Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.70
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.30
2H goals scored
0.30
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.90N=10
Corners for
3.60N=10
4.20
Corners against
6.20
9.10
Match total
9.80
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.20N=10
For
1.80N=10
3.10
Match total
3.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.90N=10
Committed
10.60N=10
23.70
Match total
24.60
Shots
13.40N=10
Shots
12.20N=10
5.80
On target
4.80
16%
Conversion
8%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches62
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home62.9%67.7%+4.9 pp
Draw20.7%14.5%-6.2 pp
Away16.4%17.7%+1.3 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.588.7%
Over 2.569.4%
Over 3.545.2%
BTTS59.7%
Historical average
2.39–1.03
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-012.9%
3-112.9%
2-111.3%
0-18.1%
1-16.5%
Comparable corner averages
6.23–3.98
Average total10.21
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=62.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.569.4%
Over 9.554.8%
Over 10.546.8%
Over 11.532.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT69.2%42.4%–87.3% CI
Draw FT7.7%1.4%–33.3% CI
Away FT23.1%8.2%–50.3% CI
Remaining goals
1.92
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal100.0%
2+ goals61.5%
3+ goals23.1%
Who scores in 2H
Home76.9%
Away38.5%