Premier League · 2020/21
2021-05-19 · 18:00
11.7554.8%
X3.8325.0%
24.7520.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Newcastle
LLLWDDDWLL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Sheffield United
LWLLLLLLLW
2W 0D 8L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
0.40
2.00
Conceded
2.00
70%
Over 2.5
50%
90%
BTTS
20%

By half

1.80
1H goals
1.00
1.80
2H goals
1.40
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.30N=10
For
4.00N=10
4.90
Against
6.70
9.20
Total
10.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
0.40
2.00
Goals conceded
2.00
3.60
Total goals
2.40
100%10/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
90%9/10
BTTS
20%2/10
Matchup

Newcastle attack

1.60goals per match
Sheffield United conceded2.00
Matchup

Sheffield United attack

0.40goals per match
Newcastle conceded2.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.30
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.10
1.10
2H goals conceded
1.30
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.30N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
4.90
Corners against
6.70
9.20
Match total
10.70
70%7/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
2.10N=10
3.40
Match total
2.80
50%5/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10

Fouls

10.90N=10
Committed
12.40N=10
22.30
Match total
21.70

Shots

14.20N=10
Shots
6.40N=10
4.60
On target
2.00
11%
Conversion
6%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches161
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home54.8%60.2%+5.5 pp
Draw25.0%21.7%-3.3 pp
Away20.2%18.0%-2.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.575.2%
Over 2.551.6%
Over 3.525.5%
BTTS49.1%

Historical average

1.770.86

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-013.7%
2-112.4%
2-010.6%
1-110.6%
3-07.5%

Comparable corner averages

5.814.22
Average total10.04

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=161.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.4%
Over 9.551.6%
Over 10.539.1%
Over 11.530.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches50
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT48.0%34.8%–61.5% CI
Draw FT30.0%19.1%–43.8% CI
Away FT22.0%12.8%–35.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.56

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal84.0%
2+ goals42.0%
3+ goals20.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home66.0%
Away48.0%