Premier League · 2020/21
2021-05-18 · 20:15
11.7256.1%
X3.7126.0%
25.3718.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Chelsea
LDWWDWLDWL
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Leicester
WDWDWDWLDW
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.50
0.90
Conceded
1.00
20%
Over 2.5
50%
20%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.20
0.80
2H goals
1.30
50%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

6.20N=10
For
6.60N=10
3.30
Against
4.30
9.50
Total
10.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.50
0.90
Goals conceded
1.00
2.00
Total goals
2.50
60%6/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
20%2/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Chelsea attack

1.10goals per match
Leicester conceded1.00
Matchup

Leicester attack

1.50goals per match
Chelsea conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.60
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.90
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.40
50%5/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
10%1/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.20N=10
Corners for
6.60N=10
3.30
Corners against
4.30
9.50
Match total
10.90
60%6/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

0.90N=10
For
1.40N=10
2.00
Match total
2.50
10%1/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

10.40N=10
Committed
11.60N=10
19.60
Match total
22.20

Shots

15.00N=10
Shots
13.90N=10
5.70
On target
4.90
7%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches126
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home56.1%50.8%-5.3 pp
Draw26.0%31.0%+5.0 pp
Away18.0%18.3%+0.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.571.4%
Over 2.545.2%
Over 3.520.6%
BTTS50.8%

Historical average

1.500.88

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.3%
2-112.7%
1-011.9%
0-011.1%
2-07.9%

Comparable corner averages

6.083.76
Average total9.84

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=126.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.558.7%
Over 9.552.4%
Over 10.543.7%
Over 11.532.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches46
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT41.3%28.3%–55.7% CI
Draw FT47.8%34.1%–61.9% CI
Away FT10.9%4.7%–23.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.37

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal69.6%
2+ goals45.7%
3+ goals13.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home60.9%
Away34.8%