Premier League · 2020/21
2021-05-18 · 19:00
16.9313.9%
X4.4921.5%
21.4964.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Brighton
DDWDLLWDWD
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM
Man City
WWWWWWWWWW
10W 0D 0L · 3.00 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
2.80
0.80
Conceded
0.60
40%
Over 2.5
60%
40%
BTTS
40%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.60
1.10
2H goals
1.80
60%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

7.00N=10
For
5.00N=10
3.40
Against
2.30
10.40
Total
7.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
2.80
0.80
Goals conceded
0.60
2.00
Total goals
3.40
60%6/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Brighton attack

1.20goals per match
Man City conceded0.60
Matchup

Man City attack

2.80goals per match
Brighton conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
1.20
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.40
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.70
2H goals scored
1.60
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.20
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.00N=10
Corners for
5.00N=10
3.40
Corners against
2.30
10.40
Match total
7.30
80%8/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.30N=10
For
1.10N=10
2.50
Match total
2.70
10%1/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

12.30N=10
Committed
9.00N=10
20.50
Match total
19.70

Shots

16.40N=10
Shots
14.10N=10
4.60
On target
5.10
7%
Conversion
20%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches24
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home13.9%16.7%+2.8 pp
Draw21.5%25.0%+3.5 pp
Away64.6%58.3%-6.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.566.7%
Over 2.550.0%
Over 3.520.8%
BTTS41.7%

Historical average

0.711.67

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-216.7%
0-112.5%
0-012.5%
0-38.3%
1-08.3%

Comparable corner averages

3.716.17
Average total9.88

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=24.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.5%
Over 9.554.2%
Over 10.545.8%
Over 11.537.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT9.1%1.6%–37.7% CI
Draw FT36.4%15.2%–64.6% CI
Away FT54.5%28.0%–78.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.73

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.7%
2+ goals54.5%
3+ goals36.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home27.3%
Away63.6%