Premier League · 2020/21
2021-05-18 · 18:00
12.6037.0%
X3.8125.2%
22.5437.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Southampton
WLLLDLWDWW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Leeds
LWWLLLWWLW
5W 0D 5L · 1.50 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
1.50
1.40
Conceded
1.60
60%
Over 2.5
70%
80%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.60
1H goals
1.50
1.30
2H goals
1.60
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.70N=10
For
6.10N=10
6.30
Against
6.50
11.00
Total
12.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.50
1.40
Goals conceded
1.60
2.90
Total goals
3.10
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
80%8/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Southampton attack

1.50goals per match
Leeds conceded1.60
Matchup

Leeds attack

1.50goals per match
Southampton conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.50
0.70
1H goals conceded
1.00
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.60
2H goals scored
1.00
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.70N=10
Corners for
6.10N=10
6.30
Corners against
6.50
11.00
Match total
12.60
90%9/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
80%8/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

0.90N=10
For
1.50N=10
2.10
Match total
2.70
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

10.80N=10
Committed
12.10N=10
21.70
Match total
24.50

Shots

11.30N=10
Shots
12.10N=10
4.60
On target
4.20
13%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches16
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home37.0%43.8%+6.8 pp
Draw25.2%25.0%-0.2 pp
Away37.8%31.3%-6.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.581.3%
Over 2.562.5%
Over 3.543.8%
BTTS56.3%

Historical average

1.811.25

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-212.5%
2-012.5%
2-212.5%
3-112.5%
0-112.5%

Comparable corner averages

4.946.81
Average total11.75

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=16.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.581.3%
Over 9.575.0%
Over 10.562.5%
Over 11.556.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches26
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT23.1%11.0%–42.1% CI
Draw FT42.3%25.5%–61.1% CI
Away FT34.6%19.4%–53.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.50

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal69.2%
2+ goals46.2%
3+ goals30.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home46.2%
Away53.8%