Premier League · 2020/21
2021-05-16 · 12:00
13.0531.4%
X3.5027.4%
22.3341.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Crystal Palace
DWLWLDDWLL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Aston Villa
LLLWDWLDLW
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

0.80
Scored
0.90
1.30
Conceded
1.20
30%
Over 2.5
40%
30%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.10
1H goals
0.80
1.00
2H goals
1.30
60%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

2.60N=10
For
3.90N=10
5.00
Against
6.00
7.60
Total
9.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
0.90
1.30
Goals conceded
1.20
2.10
Total goals
2.10
60%6/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
30%3/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Crystal Palace attack

0.80goals per match
Aston Villa conceded1.20
Matchup

Aston Villa attack

0.90goals per match
Crystal Palace conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.50
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.30
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.40
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.90
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
2.60N=10
Corners for
3.90N=10
5.00
Corners against
6.00
7.60
Match total
9.90
30%3/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
10%1/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.00N=10
For
1.60N=10
1.80
Match total
3.20
20%2/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

9.50N=10
Committed
10.30N=10
21.60
Match total
24.20

Shots

7.00N=10
Shots
10.80N=10
2.40
On target
4.80
11%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches179
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home31.4%30.2%-1.3 pp
Draw27.4%28.5%+1.1 pp
Away41.2%41.3%+0.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.1%
Over 2.540.8%
Over 3.520.1%
BTTS53.1%

Historical average

1.071.32

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-117.3%
1-012.3%
0-210.6%
1-210.1%
0-18.9%

Comparable corner averages

4.725.08
Average total9.79

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=179.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.6%
Over 9.549.2%
Over 10.539.7%
Over 11.531.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches61
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT32.8%22.3%–45.3% CI
Draw FT34.4%23.7%–47.0% CI
Away FT32.8%22.3%–45.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.34

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.3%
2+ goals36.1%
3+ goals11.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home49.2%
Away55.7%