Premier League · 2020/21
2021-05-16 · 12:00
13.0531.4%
X3.5027.4%
22.3341.2%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Crystal Palace
DWLWLDDWLL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Aston Villa
LLLWDWLDLW
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Goals
0.80
Scored
0.90
1.30
Conceded
1.20
30%
Over 2.5
40%
30%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.10
1H goals
0.80
1.00
2H goals
1.30
60%
Goal in 2H
60%
Corners
2.60N=10
For
3.90N=10
5.00
Against
6.00
7.60
Total
9.90
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
0.90
1.30
Goals conceded
1.20
2.10
Total goals
2.10
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Crystal Palace attack
0.80goals per matchAston Villa conceded1.20Matchup
Aston Villa attack
0.90goals per matchCrystal Palace conceded1.30Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.50
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.40
2H goals scored
0.40
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
2.60N=10
Corners for
3.90N=10
5.00
Corners against
6.00
7.60
Match total
9.90
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.00N=10
For
1.60N=10
1.80
Match total
3.20
Over 3.5
Fouls
9.50N=10
Committed
10.30N=10
21.60
Match total
24.20
Shots
7.00N=10
Shots
10.80N=10
2.40
On target
4.80
11%
Conversion
8%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches179
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home31.4%30.2%-1.3 pp
Draw27.4%28.5%+1.1 pp
Away41.2%41.3%+0.2 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.572.1%
Over 2.540.8%
Over 3.520.1%
BTTS53.1%
Historical average
1.07–1.32
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-117.3%
1-012.3%
0-210.6%
1-210.1%
0-18.9%
Comparable corner averages
4.72–5.08
Average total9.79
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=179.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.562.6%
Over 9.549.2%
Over 10.539.7%
Over 11.531.8%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches61
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT32.8%22.3%–45.3% CI
Draw FT34.4%23.7%–47.0% CI
Away FT32.8%22.3%–45.3% CI
Remaining goals
1.34
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal80.3%
2+ goals36.1%
3+ goals11.5%
Who scores in 2H
Home49.2%
Away55.7%