Super Lig · 2022/23
2023-04-14 · 18:30
11.3072.4%
X5.7216.4%
28.4011.2%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Galatasaray
DWWWWWWWWW
9W 1D 0L · 2.80 PPM
Kayserispor
WDWWLLWWLW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Goals
2.20
Scored
2.10
0.90
Conceded
1.80
80%
Over 2.5
90%
70%
BTTS
70%
By half
1.70
1H goals
1.80
1.40
2H goals
2.10
90%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
9.30N=10
For
4.30N=10
3.60
Against
5.40
12.90
Total
9.70
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongOver 2.5 goals
8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
strongBoth teams scored
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.20
Goals scored
2.10
0.90
Goals conceded
1.80
3.10
Total goals
3.90
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Galatasaray attack
2.20goals per matchKayserispor conceded1.80Matchup
Kayserispor attack
2.10goals per matchGalatasaray conceded0.90Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.20
1H goals scored
1.10
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.00
2H goals scored
1.00
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.10
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
9.30N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
3.60
Corners against
5.40
12.90
Match total
9.70
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.20N=10
For
2.10N=10
4.90
Match total
4.00
Over 3.5
Fouls
14.70N=10
Committed
15.50N=10
28.10
Match total
28.60
Shots
20.20N=10
Shots
11.30N=10
7.20
On target
3.90
11%
Conversion
19%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches29
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home72.4%69.0%-3.4 pp
Draw16.4%13.8%-2.7 pp
Away11.2%17.2%+6.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.579.3%
Over 2.572.4%
Over 3.551.7%
BTTS51.7%
Historical average
2.52–1.00
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-010.3%
2-110.3%
6-06.9%
4-26.9%
2-26.9%
Comparable corner averages
6.66–3.28
Average total9.93
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=29.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.565.5%
Over 9.562.1%
Over 10.544.8%
Over 11.537.9%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT50.0%25.4%–74.6% CI
Draw FT33.3%13.8%–60.9% CI
Away FT16.7%4.7%–44.8% CI
Remaining goals
1.42
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal75.0%
2+ goals33.3%
3+ goals25.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home58.3%
Away41.7%