Super Lig · 2022/23
2023-04-10 · 18:30
14.5920.4%
X4.1322.6%
21.6457.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Karagumruk
DLWLDWDDWD
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM
Fenerbahce
DWWLWWWDWW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM

Goals

2.20
Scored
2.00
1.80
Conceded
1.00
70%
Over 2.5
70%
80%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.60
1H goals
0.80
2.40
2H goals
2.20
100%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.20N=10
For
5.20N=10
5.70
Against
4.20
9.90
Total
9.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongBoth teams scored

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.20
Goals scored
2.00
1.80
Goals conceded
1.00
4.00
Total goals
3.00
100%10/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
80%8/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Karagumruk attack

2.20goals per match
Fenerbahce conceded1.00
Matchup

Fenerbahce attack

2.00goals per match
Karagumruk conceded1.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.60
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.20
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
1.20
2H goals scored
1.40
1.20
2H goals conceded
0.80
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
80%8/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.20N=10
Corners for
5.20N=10
5.70
Corners against
4.20
9.90
Match total
9.40
70%7/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.60N=10
For
2.40N=10
4.20
Match total
4.90
70%7/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

13.40N=10
Committed
14.50N=10
24.70
Match total
29.60

Shots

10.80N=10
Shots
13.90N=10
4.60
On target
4.50
20%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches51
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home20.4%29.4%+9.0 pp
Draw22.6%15.7%-6.9 pp
Away57.0%54.9%-2.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.582.4%
Over 2.570.6%
Over 3.531.4%
BTTS66.7%

Historical average

1.411.73

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-219.6%
0-111.8%
2-19.8%
1-17.8%
0-35.9%

Comparable corner averages

4.436.22
Average total10.65

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=51.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.572.5%
Over 9.560.8%
Over 10.551.0%
Over 11.539.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches15
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT26.7%10.9%–52.0% CI
Draw FT26.7%10.9%–52.0% CI
Away FT46.7%24.8%–69.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.53

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.0%
2+ goals46.7%
3+ goals26.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home40.0%
Away66.7%