Super Lig · 2022/23
2023-04-10 · 18:30
14.5920.4%
X4.1322.6%
21.6457.0%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Karagumruk
DLWLDWDDWD
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM
Fenerbahce
DWWLWWWDWW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Goals
2.20
Scored
2.00
1.80
Conceded
1.00
70%
Over 2.5
70%
80%
BTTS
70%
By half
1.60
1H goals
0.80
2.40
2H goals
2.20
100%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
4.20N=10
For
5.20N=10
5.70
Against
4.20
9.90
Total
9.40
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongOver 2.5 goals
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
strongBoth teams scored
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.20
Goals scored
2.00
1.80
Goals conceded
1.00
4.00
Total goals
3.00
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Karagumruk attack
2.20goals per matchFenerbahce conceded1.00Matchup
Fenerbahce attack
2.00goals per matchKaragumruk conceded1.80Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.60
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.20
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.20
2H goals scored
1.40
1.20
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.20N=10
Corners for
5.20N=10
5.70
Corners against
4.20
9.90
Match total
9.40
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.60N=10
For
2.40N=10
4.20
Match total
4.90
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.40N=10
Committed
14.50N=10
24.70
Match total
29.60
Shots
10.80N=10
Shots
13.90N=10
4.60
On target
4.50
20%
Conversion
14%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches51
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home20.4%29.4%+9.0 pp
Draw22.6%15.7%-6.9 pp
Away57.0%54.9%-2.1 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.582.4%
Over 2.570.6%
Over 3.531.4%
BTTS66.7%
Historical average
1.41–1.73
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-219.6%
0-111.8%
2-19.8%
1-17.8%
0-35.9%
Comparable corner averages
4.43–6.22
Average total10.65
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=51.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.572.5%
Over 9.560.8%
Over 10.551.0%
Over 11.539.2%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches15
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT26.7%10.9%–52.0% CI
Draw FT26.7%10.9%–52.0% CI
Away FT46.7%24.8%–69.9% CI
Remaining goals
1.53
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal80.0%
2+ goals46.7%
3+ goals26.7%
Who scores in 2H
Home40.0%
Away66.7%