Premier League · 2020/21
2021-05-15 · 15:00
12.0247.5%
X3.5826.8%
23.7325.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Southampton
DWLLLDLWDW
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Fulham
DDDWDDWLDL
2W 6D 2L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
0.90
1.30
Conceded
1.00
50%
Over 2.5
20%
70%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.50
1H goals
0.40
1.00
2H goals
1.50
70%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.50N=10
For
3.70N=10
6.10
Against
5.40
10.60
Total
9.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
0.90
1.30
Goals conceded
1.00
2.50
Total goals
1.90
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
20%2/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
70%7/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Southampton attack

1.20goals per match
Fulham conceded1.00
Matchup

Fulham attack

0.90goals per match
Southampton conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.20
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.20
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
40%4/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.70
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.50N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
6.10
Corners against
5.40
10.60
Match total
9.10
80%8/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.20N=10
For
1.50N=10
2.40
Match total
2.60
40%4/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10

Fouls

11.50N=10
Committed
12.90N=10
22.40
Match total
23.30

Shots

11.00N=10
Shots
11.10N=10
4.20
On target
3.80
11%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches242
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home47.5%49.2%+1.7 pp
Draw26.8%24.8%-2.0 pp
Away25.7%26.0%+0.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.2%
Over 2.548.3%
Over 3.524.0%
BTTS50.8%

Historical average

1.541.03

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-111.6%
1-011.6%
0-19.9%
1-19.5%
2-08.3%

Comparable corner averages

5.484.74
Average total10.22

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=242.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.2%
Over 9.554.5%
Over 10.544.6%
Over 11.533.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches90
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT41.1%31.5%–51.4% CI
Draw FT31.1%22.5%–41.3% CI
Away FT27.8%19.6%–37.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.41

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal77.8%
2+ goals37.8%
3+ goals18.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home53.3%
Away48.9%