Premier League · 2020/21
2021-05-15 · 15:00
12.0247.5%
X3.5826.8%
23.7325.7%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Southampton
DWLLLDLWDW
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Fulham
DDDWDDWLDL
2W 6D 2L · 1.20 PPM
Goals
1.20
Scored
0.90
1.30
Conceded
1.00
50%
Over 2.5
20%
70%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.50
1H goals
0.40
1.00
2H goals
1.50
70%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
4.50N=10
For
3.70N=10
6.10
Against
5.40
10.60
Total
9.10
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
0.90
1.30
Goals conceded
1.00
2.50
Total goals
1.90
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Southampton attack
1.20goals per matchFulham conceded1.00Matchup
Fulham attack
0.90goals per matchSouthampton conceded1.30Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.20
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.20
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.40
2H goals scored
0.70
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.50N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
6.10
Corners against
5.40
10.60
Match total
9.10
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.20N=10
For
1.50N=10
2.40
Match total
2.60
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.50N=10
Committed
12.90N=10
22.40
Match total
23.30
Shots
11.00N=10
Shots
11.10N=10
4.20
On target
3.80
11%
Conversion
8%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches242
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home47.5%49.2%+1.7 pp
Draw26.8%24.8%-2.0 pp
Away25.7%26.0%+0.3 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.570.2%
Over 2.548.3%
Over 3.524.0%
BTTS50.8%
Historical average
1.54–1.03
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-111.6%
1-011.6%
0-19.9%
1-19.5%
2-08.3%
Comparable corner averages
5.48–4.74
Average total10.22
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=242.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.563.2%
Over 9.554.5%
Over 10.544.6%
Over 11.533.5%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches90
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT41.1%31.5%–51.4% CI
Draw FT31.1%22.5%–41.3% CI
Away FT27.8%19.6%–37.8% CI
Remaining goals
1.41
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal77.8%
2+ goals37.8%
3+ goals18.9%
Who scores in 2H
Home53.3%
Away48.9%