Super Lig · 2022/23
2023-04-03 · 18:30
13.1030.4%
X3.5826.3%
22.1743.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Istanbulspor
LDLLLWDLWW
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Karagumruk
DLWLLWDDWD
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
2.20
2.10
Conceded
2.00
80%
Over 2.5
80%
70%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.60
1H goals
2.20
2.00
2H goals
2.00
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

3.70N=10
For
2.80N=10
4.40
Against
5.70
8.10
Total
8.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongOver 2.5 goals

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
2.20
2.10
Goals conceded
2.00
3.60
Total goals
4.20
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Istanbulspor attack

1.50goals per match
Karagumruk conceded2.00
Matchup

Karagumruk attack

2.20goals per match
Istanbulspor conceded2.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
1.00
1.10
1H goals conceded
1.20
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.00
2H goals scored
1.20
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.80
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.70N=10
Corners for
2.80N=10
4.40
Corners against
5.70
8.10
Match total
8.50
30%3/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
10%1/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
2.40N=10
3.80
Match total
3.60
60%6/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

11.60N=10
Committed
14.20N=10
24.30
Match total
27.60

Shots

8.70N=10
Shots
11.50N=10
3.10
On target
4.80
17%
Conversion
19%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches188
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home30.4%33.0%+2.6 pp
Draw26.3%23.9%-2.3 pp
Away43.4%43.1%-0.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.578.7%
Over 2.559.0%
Over 3.537.2%
BTTS61.2%

Historical average

1.351.65

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-29.0%
1-19.0%
1-08.0%
0-07.4%
2-17.4%

Comparable corner averages

4.764.83
Average total9.59

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=188.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.2%
Over 9.546.8%
Over 10.536.7%
Over 11.527.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches55
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT32.7%21.8%–45.9% CI
Draw FT36.4%24.9%–49.6% CI
Away FT30.9%20.3%–44.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.58

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal74.5%
2+ goals50.9%
3+ goals23.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home52.7%
Away54.5%