Premier League · 2020/21
2021-05-15 · 12:30
13.1430.6%
X3.6426.4%
22.2343.1%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Burnley
LWLDDDDDLL
1W 5D 4L · 0.80 PPM
Leeds
WLWWLLLWWL
5W 0D 5L · 1.50 PPM
Goals
0.90
Scored
1.60
1.30
Conceded
1.60
30%
Over 2.5
70%
70%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.20
1H goals
1.80
1.00
2H goals
1.40
50%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
4.90N=10
For
6.30N=10
4.70
Against
6.20
9.60
Total
12.50
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
1.60
1.30
Goals conceded
1.60
2.20
Total goals
3.20
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Burnley attack
0.90goals per matchLeeds conceded1.60Matchup
Leeds attack
1.60goals per matchBurnley conceded1.30Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.80
0.80
1H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.50
2H goals scored
0.80
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.90N=10
Corners for
6.30N=10
4.70
Corners against
6.20
9.60
Match total
12.50
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.40N=10
For
1.50N=10
2.20
Match total
2.60
Over 3.5
Fouls
9.60N=10
Committed
12.10N=10
19.80
Match total
24.20
Shots
11.00N=10
Shots
11.90N=10
3.50
On target
4.20
8%
Conversion
13%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches83
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home30.6%30.1%-0.5 pp
Draw26.4%30.1%+3.7 pp
Away43.1%39.8%-3.3 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.577.1%
Over 2.556.6%
Over 3.532.5%
BTTS61.4%
Historical average
1.28–1.57
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-010.8%
1-110.8%
1-29.6%
2-18.4%
2-28.4%
Comparable corner averages
4.77–4.99
Average total9.76
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=83.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.561.4%
Over 9.550.6%
Over 10.538.6%
Over 11.530.1%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches26
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT30.8%16.5%–50.0% CI
Draw FT46.2%28.8%–64.5% CI
Away FT23.1%11.0%–42.1% CI
Remaining goals
1.46
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal65.4%
2+ goals46.2%
3+ goals23.1%
Who scores in 2H
Home46.2%
Away53.8%