Premier League · 2020/21
2021-05-15 · 12:30
13.1430.6%
X3.6426.4%
22.2343.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Burnley
LWLDDDDDLL
1W 5D 4L · 0.80 PPM
Leeds
WLWWLLLWWL
5W 0D 5L · 1.50 PPM

Goals

0.90
Scored
1.60
1.30
Conceded
1.60
30%
Over 2.5
70%
70%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.80
1.00
2H goals
1.40
50%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.90N=10
For
6.30N=10
4.70
Against
6.20
9.60
Total
12.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
1.60
1.30
Goals conceded
1.60
2.20
Total goals
3.20
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Burnley attack

0.90goals per match
Leeds conceded1.60
Matchup

Leeds attack

1.60goals per match
Burnley conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.80
0.80
1H goals conceded
1.00
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.80
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.60
50%5/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.90N=10
Corners for
6.30N=10
4.70
Corners against
6.20
9.60
Match total
12.50
60%6/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
80%8/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
1.50N=10
2.20
Match total
2.60
0%0/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

9.60N=10
Committed
12.10N=10
19.80
Match total
24.20

Shots

11.00N=10
Shots
11.90N=10
3.50
On target
4.20
8%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches83
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home30.6%30.1%-0.5 pp
Draw26.4%30.1%+3.7 pp
Away43.1%39.8%-3.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.577.1%
Over 2.556.6%
Over 3.532.5%
BTTS61.4%

Historical average

1.281.57

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-010.8%
1-110.8%
1-29.6%
2-18.4%
2-28.4%

Comparable corner averages

4.774.99
Average total9.76

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=83.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.4%
Over 9.550.6%
Over 10.538.6%
Over 11.530.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches26
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT30.8%16.5%–50.0% CI
Draw FT46.2%28.8%–64.5% CI
Away FT23.1%11.0%–42.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.46

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal65.4%
2+ goals46.2%
3+ goals23.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home46.2%
Away53.8%