Premier League · 2020/21
2021-05-14 · 20:00
110.529.2%
X5.8016.6%
21.3074.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Newcastle
DLLLWDDDWL
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Man City
WWWWWWWWWW
10W 0D 0L · 3.00 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
2.70
1.60
Conceded
0.40
60%
Over 2.5
60%
80%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.50
1.50
2H goals
1.60
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.40N=10
For
4.80N=10
5.60
Against
2.40
10.00
Total
7.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
2.70
1.60
Goals conceded
0.40
2.90
Total goals
3.10
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
80%8/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Newcastle attack

1.30goals per match
Man City conceded0.40
Matchup

Man City attack

2.70goals per match
Newcastle conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
1.30
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.20
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
0.60
2H goals scored
1.40
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.20
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.40N=10
Corners for
4.80N=10
5.60
Corners against
2.40
10.00
Match total
7.20
70%7/10
Over 8.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
1.00N=10
3.50
Match total
2.70
50%5/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

10.70N=10
Committed
9.00N=10
22.40
Match total
19.70

Shots

13.90N=10
Shots
14.40N=10
4.30
On target
5.10
9%
Conversion
19%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches27
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home9.2%14.8%+5.6 pp
Draw16.6%18.5%+1.9 pp
Away74.2%66.7%-7.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.577.8%
Over 2.544.4%
Over 3.529.6%
BTTS25.9%

Historical average

0.672.15

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-218.5%
1-111.1%
0-311.1%
0-411.1%
1-07.4%

Comparable corner averages

2.856.37
Average total9.22

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=27.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.559.3%
Over 9.533.3%
Over 10.525.9%
Over 11.518.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT20.0%5.7%–51.0% CI
Draw FT40.0%16.8%–68.7% CI
Away FT40.0%16.8%–68.7% CI

Remaining goals

0.90

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal70.0%
2+ goals20.0%
3+ goals0.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home30.0%
Away50.0%