Premier League · 2020/21
2021-05-13 · 18:00
12.7235.3%
X3.4427.9%
22.6136.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Aston Villa
WLWLDLWLDL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Everton
WWWDWWLDWW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.30
1.50
Conceded
0.70
60%
Over 2.5
30%
60%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.20
1H goals
0.90
1.50
2H goals
1.10
60%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.30N=10
For
3.00N=10
5.80
Against
6.30
11.10
Total
9.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.30
1.50
Goals conceded
0.70
2.70
Total goals
2.00
80%8/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
60%6/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Aston Villa attack

1.20goals per match
Everton conceded0.70
Matchup

Everton attack

1.30goals per match
Aston Villa conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.50
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.40
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.80
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.30
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
3.00N=10
5.80
Corners against
6.30
11.10
Match total
9.30
80%8/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.20N=10
For
2.10N=10
2.70
Match total
3.80
20%2/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

12.70N=10
Committed
9.90N=10
26.40
Match total
20.50

Shots

12.00N=10
Shots
8.00N=10
4.20
On target
3.00
10%
Conversion
16%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches202
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home35.3%39.6%+4.3 pp
Draw27.9%24.3%-3.7 pp
Away36.8%36.1%-0.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.578.7%
Over 2.556.4%
Over 3.528.7%
BTTS59.4%

Historical average

1.421.37

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-111.9%
2-111.4%
1-08.9%
1-28.9%
0-17.9%

Comparable corner averages

5.124.91
Average total10.03

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=202.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.8%
Over 9.550.5%
Over 10.540.6%
Over 11.531.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches52
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT36.5%24.8%–50.1% CI
Draw FT23.1%13.7%–36.1% CI
Away FT40.4%28.2%–53.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.75

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal82.7%
2+ goals48.1%
3+ goals32.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home55.8%
Away59.6%