Premier League · 2020/21
2021-05-12 · 20:15
11.7355.6%
X3.8025.3%
25.0419.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Chelsea
DLDWWDWLDW
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Arsenal
WWWLLWDDWW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
2.10
0.90
Conceded
0.90
20%
Over 2.5
60%
30%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.90
0.90
2H goals
1.10
60%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.40N=10
For
5.40N=10
3.60
Against
3.60
10.00
Total
9.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
2.10
0.90
Goals conceded
0.90
2.10
Total goals
3.00
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Chelsea attack

1.20goals per match
Arsenal conceded0.90
Matchup

Arsenal attack

2.10goals per match
Chelsea conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
1.10
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
0.50
2H goals scored
1.00
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.10
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
10%1/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.40N=10
Corners for
5.40N=10
3.60
Corners against
3.60
10.00
Match total
9.00
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.20N=10
For
1.30N=10
2.30
Match total
3.20
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

11.30N=10
Committed
7.20N=10
20.20
Match total
18.10

Shots

14.70N=10
Shots
14.00N=10
5.70
On target
5.00
8%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches146
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home55.6%56.8%+1.2 pp
Draw25.3%24.0%-1.3 pp
Away19.1%19.2%+0.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.574.7%
Over 2.550.0%
Over 3.527.4%
BTTS53.4%

Historical average

1.670.95

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-113.0%
1-013.0%
1-111.6%
2-08.9%
0-08.9%

Comparable corner averages

5.864.01
Average total9.87

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=146.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.3%
Over 9.550.7%
Over 10.543.2%
Over 11.534.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches45
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT42.2%29.0%–56.7% CI
Draw FT44.4%30.9%–58.8% CI
Away FT13.3%6.3%–26.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.29

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal71.1%
2+ goals42.2%
3+ goals6.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home57.8%
Away33.3%