Premier League · 2020/21
2021-05-11 · 20:15
12.1045.9%
X3.5627.1%
23.5627.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Southampton
LDWLLLDLWD
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Crystal Palace
LDLWLWLDLW
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

0.90
Scored
0.90
1.30
Conceded
1.80
40%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.10
0.80
2H goals
1.60
60%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

3.90N=10
For
3.40N=10
5.90
Against
6.50
9.80
Total
9.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
0.90
1.30
Goals conceded
1.80
2.20
Total goals
2.70
60%6/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Southampton attack

0.90goals per match
Crystal Palace conceded1.80
Matchup

Crystal Palace attack

0.90goals per match
Southampton conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.60
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.20
2H goals scored
0.30
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.30
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.90N=10
Corners for
3.40N=10
5.90
Corners against
6.50
9.80
Match total
9.90
80%8/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.20N=10
For
1.50N=10
2.30
Match total
2.50
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

10.40N=10
Committed
10.70N=10
21.10
Match total
21.80

Shots

10.60N=10
Shots
8.70N=10
3.90
On target
3.30
8%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches154
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home45.9%46.8%+0.9 pp
Draw27.1%30.5%+3.5 pp
Away27.1%22.7%-4.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.574.7%
Over 2.545.5%
Over 3.528.6%
BTTS56.5%

Historical average

1.481.12

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-118.2%
1-015.6%
2-18.4%
2-07.8%
2-26.5%

Comparable corner averages

5.474.59
Average total10.06

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=154.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.9%
Over 9.555.2%
Over 10.544.8%
Over 11.533.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches47
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT48.9%35.3%–62.8% CI
Draw FT34.0%22.2%–48.3% CI
Away FT17.0%8.9%–30.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.62

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal85.1%
2+ goals42.6%
3+ goals21.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home74.5%
Away44.7%